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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Yankees just can’t beat the Blue Jays right now.
Seeking their eighth win in nine games against the New York Yankees, the Toronto Blue Jays emerge as a tempting +134 underdog option ahead of Saturday’s Game 2 at Yankee Stadium.
Current Form:
The Yankees are now 1-7 in their last 8 games against the Blue Jays following Friday’s 1-7 loss at home. New York, which entered the final regular-season series with Toronto averaging 5.0 runs per game, only scored one run while going 4 for 30 at the plate in Game 1. Starting Cam Schlittler surrendered four earned runs in the first two innings of the game. The Yankees' bullpen, which is giving up a 6.00 ERA in the last five games, continued to falter as it allowed two more runs in the final two innings. As a result, the Yankees have dropped to third in the AL East standings with a 78-63 record. Boston holds the same 78-63 record but still overtakes the Yankees for the No.2 spot in the AL East because of a tiebreaker.
Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have tightened their grip on the No.1 spot in the AL East with an 82-59 record after Friday night’s result. Over the last five games, Toronto has displayed its terrifying offensive firepower, averaging 9.0 runs per game on a .339 batting average. Toronto’s ERA of 4.67 over this five-game stretch is not far off the 4.26 ERA they have maintained all season long.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
3
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0.577 | 142 | 82 | 60 |
6
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0.556 | 142 | 79 | 63 |
Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Toronto Blue Jays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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Toronto Blue Jays - New York Yankees Key Points
- Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against NY Yankees.
- NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.
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Our Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction
I am taking the Blue Jays to win again. Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against the NY Yankees and 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Their starter, Chris Bassitt, is 1-4 with a 4.00 ERA in his last five starts, but will probably still get the win because Toronto’s offense is just too good right now.
Yankees starter Luis Gil has posted an impressive 2.42 ERA in his last five mound appearances. But remember, Cam Schlittler walked into Friday’s Game 1 with a better ERA (1.26) across five starts, and yet, the Blue Jays scored four runs off of him in two innings. At this point, it would no longer be a crime to say that the Blue Jays really own the Yankees.
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: the Jays will win.
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