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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Toronto Blue Jays have beaten the New York Yankees in six of their last seven meetings.
Will the Yankees finally get the better of the Blue Jays in this crucial series beginning Friday at Yankee Stadium?
Current Form:
The Yankees, who are 9-2 in their last 11 games, are the favorites at -134. New York compiled a 16-12 record in August and has won 2 of their first 3 games in September to bump their record up to 78-62, three games behind the 81-59 Blue Jays in the AL East standings. The Yankees have averaged 5.7 runs per game on a .240 batting average while commanding an elite 3.40 ERA in their last five games.
The Blue Jays took the last two games in their series with the Cincinnati Reds this week to stay in front of the Yankees in the AL East title race. After scoring 25 runs in the last two games, Toronto improves to 7.8 runs per game while batting .326 across their last five games. Toronto’s pitching form has been a little disappointing, though. Over the same five-game stretch, the Blue Jays have posted a 5.28 ERA and 1.49 WHIP - significantly higher than their season numbers of 4.29 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.573 | 143 | 82 | 61 |
|
6
|
0.559 | 143 | 80 | 63 |
Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
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Toronto Blue Jays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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Toronto Blue Jays - New York Yankees Key Points
- NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto.
- NY Yankees is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
- Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against NY Yankees.
- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
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Our Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction
I am taking the Yankees to cover the -1.5 run spread at home. New York is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games and 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Moreover, the Yankees are 4-1 in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Yankees RHP Cam Schlitter is boasting a 1.26 ERA over his last five starts and has only allowed one run over his last 18.2 innings across three starts. On the contrary, Blue Jays RHP Kevin Gausman failed to lead Toronto to a win in his last four mound appearances, though he still carries a formidable 2.81 ERA over his last five starts.
This three-game showpiece could dictate the outcome of this year’s AL East title race. Toronto, New York, and Boston are locked in a frantic three-way race that could become messier at the conclusion of this series. The Yankees, who played in the World Series a year ago, are always dangerous at this time of the year because of their championship pedigree and the firepower that can tilt the balance of power anytime..
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: the Yankees -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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