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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Kansas City Royals and the Toronto Blue Jays will kick off their crucial three-game series on Friday at Kaufmann Stadium.
The Royals, 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Jays, are listed at +118, which pays a profit of $118 on a 100 bet.
Current Form:
The Royals lost the series finale with the Seattle Mariners 0-2 to drop below .500 with a 76-77 record. In the last five games, Kansas City has won only twice, with the first win coming in the series finale against the Phillies 10-3, and the second in Game 2 against the Mariners 7-5.
After winning six in a row, the Blue Jays suffered back-to-back losses to the Tampa Bay Rays, though they still occupy the No.1 spot in the AL East with an 89-64 record.
Stats in their last 5 games:
The Royals have logged a 5.93 ERA while averaging 5.7 runs per game in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have pitched exceptionally well with a 2.80 ERA over their last five games, but only averaged 3.9 runs per game in this stretch.
Starters:
Royals RHP Michael Lorenzen (5-11, 4.91 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RHP Max Scherzer (5-3, 4.31 ERA).
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
3
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0.582 | 153 | 89 | 64 |
17
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0.497 | 153 | 76 | 77 |
Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Toronto Blue Jays against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2024 - MLB
Apr 25, 2024 - MLB
Apr 24, 2024 - MLB
Toronto Blue Jays - Kansas City Royals Key Points
- Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
- Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
- Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games played in September.
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Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
The Royals might be 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Blue Jays, but they are facing a team that is trying to secure the No.1 spot in the AL East. Toronto would not allow itself to lose three games in a row and open the door for the Yankees to overtake them. Moreover, the Blue Jays will be starting the most experienced pitcher in their rotation, Max Scherzer, in the hope of stopping the bleeding. Scherzer helped Toronto capture its only win this season against the Royals after surrendering one run over six innings in a 4-2 win on August 2.
As for Kansas City, Michael Lorenzen has conceded 10 earned runs over his last two starts, including 6 runs in a 2-8 loss to the Phillies on September 12. It also doesn’t help that Kansas City is 3-8 in its last 11 games and 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.
Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: the Blue Jays -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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