Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
9/19/25 19:40
Kansas City Royals

Prediction:

 

The Blue Jays -1.5 Runs

+113
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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Toronto Blue Jays will kick off their crucial three-game series on Friday at Kaufmann Stadium.

The Royals, 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Jays, are listed at +118, which pays a profit of $118 on a 100 bet.

Current Form:

The Royals lost the series finale with the Seattle Mariners 0-2 to drop below .500 with a 76-77 record. In the last five games, Kansas City has won only twice, with the first win coming in the series finale against the Phillies 10-3, and the second in Game 2 against the Mariners 7-5.

After winning six in a row, the Blue Jays suffered back-to-back losses to the Tampa Bay Rays, though they still occupy the No.1 spot in the AL East with an 89-64 record.

Stats in their last 5 games:

The Royals have logged a 5.93 ERA while averaging 5.7 runs per game in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have pitched exceptionally well with a 2.80 ERA over their last five games, but only averaged 3.9 runs per game in this stretch.

Starters:

Royals RHP Michael Lorenzen (5-11, 4.91 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RHP Max Scherzer (5-3, 4.31 ERA).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Form

Table

Teams % P W L
3
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
0.582 153 89 64
17
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
0.497 153 76 77

Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  11
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
0 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
6 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  3
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  0
Kansas City Royals

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
12 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
2 :  0
Kansas City Royals

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
12 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  11
Kansas City Royals

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Kansas City Royals
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
10 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Toronto Blue Jays against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Blue Jays

17 %

Kansas City Royals

83 %

Aug 3, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
7 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 2, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
Toronto Blue Jays

Aug 1, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9 :  3
Toronto Blue Jays

May 1, 2024 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Apr 25, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Apr 24, 2024 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Toronto Blue Jays - Kansas City Royals Key Points

  1. Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
  2. Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.
  3. Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
  4. Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games played in September.

Our Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Royals might be 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Blue Jays, but they are facing a team that is trying to secure the No.1 spot in the AL East. Toronto would not allow itself to lose three games in a row and open the door for the Yankees to overtake them. Moreover, the Blue Jays will be starting the most experienced pitcher in their rotation, Max Scherzer, in the hope of stopping the bleeding. Scherzer helped Toronto capture its only win this season against the Royals after surrendering one run over six innings in a 4-2 win on August 2.

As for Kansas City, Michael Lorenzen has conceded 10 earned runs over his last two starts, including 6 runs in a 2-8 loss to the Phillies on September 12. It also doesn’t help that Kansas City is 3-8 in its last 11 games and 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the American League.

Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Toronto Blue Jays: the Blue Jays -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Blue Jays -1.5 Runs

+113
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Picks