ATP - ATP Italian Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Tommy Paul of the United States will face Tomas Machac of Czech Republic in the third round of the 2025 Italian Open on Monday.
Paul moved to the next round of competition in Italy after downing Roberto Bautista-Agut of Spain 6-1 6-4 in the second round. The American, a semifinalist at the Italian Open last year, seized control right from the get-go and sustained his strong play despite facing resistance from the Spaniard in the second set. Paul connected only 49% of his first serves, yet it was enough to hold all his serves. He also captured 4 breakpoints in the match.
Machac advanced to the third round for the first time this clay-court season after beating Learner Tien 6-4, 6-4 on Saturday. The win served as a morale-booster for the Czech, who got booted out early in Monte Carlo and Madrid. Machac earned 22 points off his first serves and 4 breakpoint conversions, allowing him to keep Tien at bay.
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Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Form
Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 5, 2025 - ATP Houston
Apr 4, 2025 - ATP Houston
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami
Tommy Paul against Tomas Machac : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Oct 9, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 27, 2024 - ATP Japan Open
Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac Key Points
- Tommy Paul defeated Roberto Bautista-Agut 6-1, 6-4 in the second-round of the 2025 Rome.
- Tommy Paul has a 64.7 percent win rate on clay.
- Tomas Machac defeated Learner Tien 6-4, 6-4 in the second-round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Tomas Machac is 2-2 on clay in 2025.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul solves Tomas Machac to get his first career win over the Czech.
I like Tommy Paul’s chances of beating Tomas Machac for the first time in three matches this Monday. Paul, who reached the semifinals in Houston and round of 16 in Madrid, has performed better this clay-court season than the out-of-form Machac, who is 2-2 on clay this year. In their head-to-head series, Machac is 2-0 vs. Paul, but these hard-court matches went the distance and could have gone either way. Also, we have to factor in that Paul reached the semifinals in Rome last year, while Machac hasn’t made any quarterfinal appearances in any clay-court tournament at an ATP-1000 level. Our betting prediction for Tomas Machac vs. Tommy Paul: Tommy Paul 2-0.
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