Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 12 USA
Tommy Paul
5/12/25 05:00
ATP 20 Czech Republic
Tomas Machac

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul will win 2-0

+140
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks

Tommy Paul of the United States will face Tomas Machac of Czech Republic in the third round of the 2025 Italian Open on Monday.

Paul moved to the next round of competition in Italy after downing Roberto Bautista-Agut of Spain 6-1 6-4 in the second round. The American, a semifinalist at the Italian Open last year, seized control right from the get-go and sustained his strong play despite facing resistance from the Spaniard in the second set. Paul connected only 49% of his first serves, yet it was enough to hold all his serves. He also captured 4 breakpoints in the match.

Machac advanced to the third round for the first time this clay-court season after beating Learner Tien 6-4, 6-4 on Saturday. The win served as a morale-booster for the Czech, who got booted out early in Monte Carlo and Madrid. Machac earned 22 points off his first serves and 4 breakpoint conversions, allowing him to keep Tien at bay.

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Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Form

Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Joao Fonseca
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

Apr 5, 2025 - ATP Houston

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Jenson Brooksby

Apr 4, 2025 - ATP Houston

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Colton Smith
Tomas Machac Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  1
Tomas Machac

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami

Tomas Machac
withdraw
Jakub Mensik

Mar 24, 2025 - ATP Miami

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

Tommy Paul against Tomas Machac : Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

0 %

Tomas Machac

100 %

Oct 9, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

Sep 27, 2024 - ATP Japan Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Tomas Machac
Compare Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac with our comparison tool.

Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac Key Points

  1. Tommy Paul defeated Roberto Bautista-Agut 6-1, 6-4 in the second-round of the 2025 Rome.
  2. Tommy Paul has a 64.7 percent win rate on clay.
  3. Tomas Machac defeated Learner Tien 6-4, 6-4 in the second-round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
  4. Tomas Machac is 2-2 on clay in 2025.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul solves Tomas Machac to get his first career win over the Czech.

I like Tommy Paul’s chances of beating Tomas Machac for the first time in three matches this Monday. Paul, who reached the semifinals in Houston and round of 16 in Madrid, has performed better this clay-court season than the out-of-form Machac, who is 2-2 on clay this year. In their head-to-head series, Machac is 2-0 vs. Paul, but these hard-court matches went the distance and could have gone either way. Also, we have to factor in that Paul reached the semifinals in Rome last year, while Machac hasn’t made any quarterfinal appearances in any clay-court tournament at an ATP-1000 level. Our betting prediction for Tomas Machac vs. Tommy Paul: Tommy Paul 2-0.

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul will win 2-0

+140
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tommy Paul vs Tomas Machac Picks
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