Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP Lyon Open

ATP - ATP Lyon Open

Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 15
10/24/26 08:00
Taylor Fritz USA
Taylor Fritz ATP 14

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul to Win

+163
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Two Americans will meet at the ATP event in Lyon on Saturday, and as we're at the semi-final stage, one of these two players will definitely feature in the final. This is also a battle between the world number 15 and the world number 14. Interestingly, this will be the 11th time that these two familiar foes have faced off on a hard court. 

If we can get odds of +163, which are very much available at the time of writing, then we should seriously consider betting on Tommy Paul to come out on top. This could easily go either way, we're talking about two players that know plenty about each other, but the world number 15 won in straight sets when the pair met earlier this season, and that's not easy to ignore, nor is the fact that he's the one with the better recent form in general. 

Up to $200 to bet on Tommy Paul - Taylor Fritz! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Form

Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 23, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Oct 21, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Benjamin Bonzi
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Zizou Bergs

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Taylor Fritz Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 23, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Oct 22, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Taylor Fritz

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Jaume Munar

Sep 5, 2026 - ATP US Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  3
Francisco Cerundolo

Tommy Paul against Taylor Fritz : Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

33 %

Taylor Fritz

67 %

Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

Feb 19, 2024 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Mar 28, 2022 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Picks

Tommy Paul - Taylor Fritz Key Points

  1. When the pair met on a hard court earlier in the season, Tommy Paul won in straight sets.
  2. Tommy Paul has lost just one of his last six hard-court matches.
  3. Tommy Paul has won each of his last five matches against non-top-10 players.
  4. Taylor Fritz has won only three of his last seven hard-court matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Tommy Paul - Taylor Fritz! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Given that we're talking about the world number 15 and the world number 14, this could easily go either way, and nobody could say otherwise. However, Tommy Paul doesn't deserve to be as big as +163 in the betting. If anything, it is Paul who has shown the better form of late, so such odds really do look far too lenient. 

It really is a question of value for money, and betting on Paul to emerge victorious at anything bigger than +125 offers clear value for money. 

Our Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz Pick: Tommy Paul to Win.

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul to Win

+163
$200 offered for betting!

A Welcome Bonus for Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz!

DraftKings Welcome Bonus 200

Looking to place a bet on Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz? For this ATP Lyon Open match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$200 in bonus bets for Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.