Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks
Following a short break, Tommy Paul made his first start of the year on a European clay court in Madrid back in late April. The American did not thrive, but he's much more suited to the conditions in Rome, where he made light work of winning his first-round match against Aleksander Vukic. With that under his belt, the man ranked 18th in the world should fancy himself to kick on. Facing Paul is Luciano Darderi, who is also a top-20 player.
Darderi came through the first round thanks to a victory over Yannick Hanfmann, but this will be tougher. The Italian hasn't exactly been consistent of late, not winning back-to-back matches since early April. This will be the third time that these two top-20 players have clashed, with Paul winning each of the previous two matches in straight sets, including on clay back in 2024.
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Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Form
Tommy Paul and Luciano Darderi Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 5, 2026 - ATP Houston
Apr 4, 2026 - ATP Houston
Apr 3, 2026 - ATP Houston
Apr 1, 2026 - ATP Houston
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 15, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Tommy Paul against Luciano Darderi : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Aug 7, 2024 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- When the pair last met, Tommy Paul came out on top.
- Tommy Paul won his last clay-court match against Luciano Darderi in straight sets.
- Tommy Paul has never lost to Luciano Darderi.
- In 2026, Tommy Paul has lost just one clay-court match.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
On rankings, this couldn't really be any closer, so we can't really be too surprised with whatever happens. However, it must be said that Tomy Paul appears to be the player with the bigger opportunity here. He's generally been holding his clay-court form well, while Darderi has been much more in and out of form. If we factor in that Paul has a strong record against Darderi, winning each of his two previous matches against the Italian, then odds of -143 far from unfair.
Our Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Pick: Tommy Paul to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
