Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction & Picks - ATP Hamburg Open
ATP - ATP Hamburg Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Tommy Paul moved on to the quarterfinals of the 2026 Hamburg Open after saving five match points to beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 in the second round.
The No. 29-ranked Paul improved to 7-2 on the dirt in 2026 and claimed his first ATP title of the year earlier in the clay-court season in Houston.
Daniel Altmaier secured his first top-10 win of his career after downing world’s No.6 Ben Shelton 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the second round.
Sporting a 60 percent win rate on clay, Altmaier is 11-9 on clay this year, but this latest victory sent him to the quarterfinals for the first time since reaching the final eight in Bucharest in early April.
Matchup & Odds:
Paul has already defeated Daniel Altmaier before. The American came back from a set down to beat Altmaier 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 in their first encounter at the 2023 Tokyo Open.
Caesars Sportsbooks feels Paul will have a significant edge in this matchup, listing him at -240 moneyline and -140 to cover -2.5 games.
Altmaier, coming off the biggest win of his career, carries a +175 price on the moneyline and +100 to cover +2.5 games.
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Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier Form
Tommy Paul and Daniel Altmaier Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 19, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 17, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 5, 2026 - ATP Houston
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 19, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 18, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 6, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 23, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Tommy Paul against Daniel Altmaier : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Oct 16, 2023 - ATP Japan Open
Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier Key Points
- Daniel Altmaier has only faced 8 breakpoints in two matches at the 2026 Hamburg Open
- Tommy Paul has only faced 14 vbreakpoints in two matches at the 2026 Hamburg Open
- Tommy Paul defeated Daniel Altmaier in 3 sets at the 2023 Tokyo Open
- Daniel Altmaier earned his first top-10 win over Ben Shelton at the 2026 Hamburg Open.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction
Best Pick: Go for Over 22.5 games. With the way these players are serving in this tournament, there’s a high chance this will go to three sets and surpass 22 games to determine a winner. Altmaier faced only 8 breakpoints in two matches in Hamburg, saving 62.5 percent. Paul faced 14 breakpoints and saved 8 of those while winning 69 percent of his serves.
High-Risk, High-Reward: An alternative pick is to go with Altmaier for the win. Altmaier has just had his first taste of a top-10 win and will be coming into the match with Paul oozing with confidence. I expect him to maintain this surging form and produce another big win before a raucous German crowd in Hamburg.
Our betting prediction for Daniel Altmaier vs. Tommy Paul: Over 22.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
