Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 12 USA
Tommy Paul
6/3/25 14:25
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul +1.5 Sets

+290
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP French Open Picks

Carlos Alcaraz of Spain will attempt to move closer to the title as he dukes it out with the strong-headed Tommy Paul of the United States in the quarterfinals of the 2025 French Open.

Alcaraz’s bid to become the first man to win the Roland Garros title for two consecutive years since Rafael Nadal remains alive and kicking as the Spaniard punched his ticket to the last 8 with a 7-6(8) 6-3 4-6 6-4 win over Ben Shelton. For a third time in this tourney, Alcaraz denied his opponent from forcing a deciding set as he pressed the action on Shelton in the fourth set.

Nursing an abdomen injury and coming off two consecutive five-set matches, Paul powered through the pain and exhaustion to carve out a dominant 6-3 6-3 6-3 win over Alexei Popyrin of Australia. Paul displayed terrific tennis throughout his round-of-16 duel with Popyrin, and for the first time, never looked bothered by his injury at all as he racked up 37 first-serve points, whipped up 25 points more off the second serves, and broke his Aussie foe 5 times in a noteworthy display of resilience and excellence.

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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 1, 2025 - ATP French Open

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Marton Fucsovics
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

May 25, 2025 - ATP French Open

Elmer Moller
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

May 15, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Tommy Paul
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 1, 2025 - ATP French Open

Ben Shelton
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Damir Dzumhur
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Fabian Marozsan
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open

Giulio Zeppieri
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 18, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Tommy Paul against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

20 %

Carlos Alcaraz

80 %

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Tommy Paul
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Jul 9, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

Aug 17, 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

Aug 11, 2023 - Toronto, Canada

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

Mar 28, 2023 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Tommy Paul
Compare Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Tommy Paul defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2025 French Open.
  2. Tommy Paul is 2-4 in his head-to-head series vs. Carlos Alcaraz
  3. Carlos Alcaraz defeated Ben Shelton 7-6(8) 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 French Open.
  4. Carlos Alcaraz has already dropped 3 sets at the 2025 French Open
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Our Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Why you should bet on Tommy Paul +1.5 Sets (Win $290 on a $100 Bet): Tommy Paul is 2-4 head-to-head against Alcaraz, but he’s one of the few players who have always given the reigning French Open a tough contest whenever they cross paths in a tournament. The last time Paul faced Alcaraz was in the quarterfinals of the 2024 Paris Olympics, which was won by the Spaniard by four games 6-3 7-6(7). Their last Grand Slam run-in was also a quarterfinal match at the 2024 Wimbledon Open, which also ended in a four-set win by Alcaraz. The bottom line is that whenever Paul plays Alcaraz, he always tries to make the Spaniard work hard for every point, regardless of the results. Alcaraz advanced to the quarterfinals of this year’s French Open without playing a deciding set, yet dropping 3 sets shows a tiny crack in his mantle of invincibility in a Grand Slam event he is expected to dominate. Paul will probably still lose this match, but I am giving a strong chance of taking at least a set from the fiery Spaniard.

Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul: Tommy Paul +1.5 Sets

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul +1.5 Sets

+290
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks
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