ATP - ATP Italian Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Alex De Minaur of Australia will lock horns with Tommy Paul of the United States for a place in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Rome Masters.
De Minaur has taken an easy path to the round of 16 in Rome, beating wild card entry Luca Nardi of Italy 6-4 7-5 and Hugo Dellien of Bolivia 6-4 6-4 in his first two matches. After a semis stint in Monte Carlo and round-of-8 appearance in Barcelona, De Minaur is aiming to return to the quarterfinal stage after coming up short in Madrid, where he lost to Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2.
Paul equaled his fourth-round finish in Madrid with a gutsy 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 victory over Tomas Machac of Czech Republic in the third round. Paul, who also reached the semifinal in the US Men’s Clay Court Championship, produced 44 points off his first serves and 22 points off his second. He also broke Machac 4 times and drilled 7 aces.
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Tommy Paul vs Alex De Minaur Form
Tommy Paul and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 5, 2025 - ATP Houston
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Tommy Paul against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
Aug 3, 2023 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Tommy Paul - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Alex De Minaur defeated Hugo Delien 6-4 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Alex De Minaur is 9-3 on clay in 2025.
- Tommy Paul defeated Tomas Machac 6-3. 6-7, 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Tommy Paul is 6-2 on clay in 2025.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alex De Minaur stays unbeaten against Tommy Paul.
Alex De Minaur is my hot pick to win via straight sets mainly because of his 5-0 lead in their head-to-head series. De Minuar has beaten Paul every time they cross paths, including a 7-5 6-4 victory in the second round of the 2022 Rome Open. Paul has shown incredible heart and grace under pressure in his win vs. Machac, but I know he is also aware that he needs to play with a much better form if he wants to upset one of the most consistent players on the ATP Tour. Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Tommy Paul: Alex De Minaur will win 2-0.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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