Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open
ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Having faced only one break point so far in Cincinnati, Adolfo Vallejo is in a terrific position to cover +4.5 games against Tommy Paul in the third round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open.
Current Form:
Tommy Paul grinded out a 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 win over Hubert Hurkacz to advance into the third round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open. The former top-10 player overcame Hurkacz’s 19 aces by winning 33 return points and converting two break points. Paul also held all his serves by winning 73 percent of his first serves.
70th-ranked Adolfo Daniel Vallejo made it to the third round of an ATP 1000 event after picking up wins against Kyrian Jacquet, 6-2, 6-4, and Valentin Vacherot 6-3, 6-3. Vallejo is 4-2 on hard court and 40-17 overall in 2026.
The Matchup: Paul nipped Vallejo in three sets, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, at the 2026 Houston Clay-Court Championships. Paul is a clear-cut favorite in this match at -500 moneyline. However, Vallejo appears to be a tempting pick to cover the spread, thanks to a +4.5-game boost.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Form
Tommy Paul and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 2, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 21, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 18, 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 17, 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
Tommy Paul against Adolfo Daniel Vallejo : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Apr 1, 2026 - ATP Houston
Tommy Paul - Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Key Points
- Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is 4-2 on the hard court in 2026.
- Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is 3-3 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
- Tommy Paul is 15-8 on the hard court in 2026.
- Tommy Paul is 29-15 vs. top-100 players in 2026.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Prediction
Key Stats: Vallejo is winning 93 percent of his first serves and averaging 4.5 aces per game. He has also faced only one breakpoint so far in Cincinnati.
Paul is an above-average hard-court server but not on the level of Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, Reilly Opelka and other American servebots. Failing to hold even one serve could prove costly for Paul, especially if Vallejo continues to stay unbreakable on the serve.
What to Expect: Paul guts out a tough three-set win to advance into the fourth round, but not before surviving a tough test from Vallejo.
Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul wins 7-6, 6-7, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Vallejo: Adolfo Vallejo +4.5 games
A Welcome Bonus for Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo!
Thanks to our code: STRADERDYW, you can unlock $250 available for use on this Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo matchup!
This offer is only available for new sign-ups, but it remains one of the highest welcome bonuses currently on offer. Take advantage before it goes away!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
