Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Tijuana
2/6/26 22:06
Puebla

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-104
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

Tijuana and Puebla meet at the Estadio Caliente this Friday, both looking to stabilize their Clausura 2026 campaigns after a somewhat erratic opening month. Club Tijuana enters this fixture on the back of a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Monterrey on January 31, a result that showcased their resilience but also highlighted persistent defensive lapses.

Prior to that, Xolos managed a 1-1 draw with Atlético de San Luis, suggesting a team that is difficult to beat but currently lacks the clinical edge required to turn single points into three. Their recent form has seen them hovering in the middle of the pack, with their home ground serving as a crucial fortress where they typically dominate possession but struggle to keep clean sheets.

On the other side of the pitch, Puebla arrives in Baja California following a mixed bag of results, most recently suffering a 1-0 defeat to Cruz Azul. While they managed a confidence-boosting 2-1 victory over Mazatlán FC in mid-January, their away form remains a significant concern, often struggling to dictate play once they leave the Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

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Tijuana vs Puebla Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Tijuana
23 17 5 8 4 +2
17 Puebla
13 17 3 4 10 -13

Tijuana and Puebla Latest Matches

Tijuana
Tijuana Latest matches
W L D W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  2
Tijuana

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Tijuana

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
CF America

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL
D W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
1 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
CF America

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  1
FC Juarez

Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  2
Tijuana

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Tijuana

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
4 :  1
Tijuana

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana
Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Puebla

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  2
Puebla

Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul
D L W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  2
Chivas

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
CF Pachuca
L L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Puebla

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  2
Puebla

Oct 24, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
4 :  4
Puebla

Oct 21, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  1
Puebla

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  1
Puebla

Tijuana against Puebla : Head to Head (H2H)

Tijuana

33 %

Draw

0 %

Puebla

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana

Feb 21, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 10, 2024 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  1
Puebla

Apr 19, 2024 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  1
Puebla

Sep 1, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  0
Tijuana

Apr 29, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
5 :  2
Tijuana

Tijuana against Puebla Lineups: Starting 11

Tijuana

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

2
J. Rodriguez
3
R. Fernandez
12
J. Porozo
4
U. Bilbao
33
P. Ortiz Orozco
22
I. Rivero
8
I. Tona Olmeda
17
R. Arciga
10
K. Castaneda
11
A. Preciado
9
M. El Ghezouani
17
E. Lozano
11
E. Gomez
22
C. Baltazar Agraz
24
A. Organista
15
E. Guerra
3
L. Rey
7
F. Monarrez
4
J. Vargas
192
E. Navarro
12
I. Moreno
28
R. Gutierrez

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Puebla

Substitutes

Tijuana
Tijuana
Goalkeeper

J. Hernandez

Defender

J. Gomez

I. Rivero 77'

J. Vega

P. Ortiz Orozco 84'

D. Bagui

O. Manzanares

Midfielder

A. Zapata

K. Escamilla

Forward

D. Abreu

M. El Ghezouani 66'

J. Martinez

R. Arciga 46'

D. Blanco

A. Preciado 66'

Puebla
Puebla
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

R. Pachuca

U. Torres

Midfielder

M. Ramirez

C. Baltazar Agraz 84'

A. Ramirez

L. Rey 57'

A. Gamarra

A. Araos

E. Gomez 74'

Forward

I. Maestro Puch

E. Lozano 75'

K. Velasco

A. Organista 57'

B. Garnica

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tijuana
CD Huachipato Puebla
Top Goalscorer
Mexico K. Castaneda (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia E. Guerra (3 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico K. Castaneda (2 Assists) , 
Mexico R. Arciga (2 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia K. Velasco (3 Assists)

Tijuana - Puebla Key Points

  1. The Over is 2-3 in Tijuana's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in Puebla's last 5 games
  3. Tijuana are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Puebla are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $350 to bet on Tijuana - Puebla! 

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Our Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction

Kevin Castañeda has emerged as the creative heartbeat for Tijuana, contributing two goals and an assist in his recent outings while leading the team in shots on target. His ability to link the midfield to the attack will be vital, especially with Adonis Preciado providing pace on the flanks. However, Xolos will be without Frank Boya, who remains sidelined with a knee injury, and Jesús Vega, who is recovering from a recent knock.

Puebla's offensive hopes rest largely on the shoulders of Esteban Lozano, who has found the net once in recent weeks and remains their most consistent threat in the box. Unfortunately for the visitors, they continue to navigate a difficult injury crisis; veteran striker Lucas Cavallini is still out with a long-term cruciate ligament injury, and Facundo Fedorco is managing an ankle issue that has limited his training time.

Tijuana holds the clear upper hand due to their superior home record and Puebla's historical struggles on the road. The oddsmakers favor a home win, and given the current momentum of Castañeda compared to a depleted Puebla frontline, the hosts are well-positioned to secure all three points. Our prediction for Tijuana vs. Puebla: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-104
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tijuana vs Puebla Picks