Tigres UANL vs Tijuana Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
11/29/25 22:10
Tijuana

Prediction:

 

Less than 3.5 goals

-128
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 by Erik Gibbs in Liga MX Picks

Tigres UANL and Tijuana meet this Saturday in a decisive Liga MX playoff matchup at San Nicolás de los Garza, where the home side will attempt to overturn one of the most unexpected results of the postseason. Tigres entered the Liguilla as one of the league's most dependable teams after finishing the regular campaign inside the top two and maintaining one of the strongest home records in Mexico. Their recent form included a 3-1 victory over Puebla and a controlled 1-1 draw against Monterrey, which reinforced their reputation for steady play and tactical balance.

The tone shifted sharply in the first leg of the quarterfinals, where Tijuana delivered a stunning 3-0 win that reshaped expectations for the series. That performance handed the visitors a major advantage and placed considerable pressure on Tigres, who now must recover a three-goal deficit to advance. For a team that typically controls possession and builds matches patiently, the situation demands urgency from the opening whistle.

Tijuana arrived in the playoffs with flashes of potential but also notable inconsistency. Before their victory over Tigres, they recorded wins against Juárez and Atlas, results that hinted at improved cohesion in the attack. Yet the same stretch also included heavy defeats — a 5-0 loss to León and a 4-1 setback against Pumas — showing how vulnerable their structure can become under sustained pressure. Their success in the first leg came from compact defending, organized transitions, and an ability to punish defensive lapses, areas that Tigres will have to tighten immediately.

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Tigres UANL vs Tijuana Form

Tigres UANL and Tijuana Latest Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL Latest matches
W W W D W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  3
Club Necaxa
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  3
Club Necaxa

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Club Leon
D D W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  0
Tigres UANL
Tijuana
Tijuana Latest matches
D L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  1
FC Juarez

Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
4 :  1
Tijuana

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  1
FC Juarez

Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 5, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
CF Cruz Azul
D L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
4 :  1
Tijuana

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
4 :  3
Tijuana

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
1 :  0
Tijuana

Sep 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

San Diego FC
4 :  2
Tijuana

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  1
Tijuana

Tigres UANL against Tijuana : Head to Head (H2H)

Tigres UANL

67 %

Draw

0 %

Tijuana

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
17%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Jan 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
4 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 1, 2024 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  3
Tigres UANL

Apr 27, 2024 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
4 :  1
Tijuana

Nov 1, 2023 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
Tigres UANL
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Tijuana v Tigres UANL last Lineups

Tigres UANL

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
N. Guzman
20
J. Aquino
2
Joaquim
27
J. Angulo
3
M. Farfan
16
D. Lainez
23
Romulo
8
F. Gorriaran
77
J. Herrera
11
J. Brunetta
7
A. Correa
19
G. Mora
21
M. El Ghezouani
17
R. Arciga
8
I. Tona Olmeda
10
K. Castaneda
16
J. Vega
3
R. Fernandez
4
U. Bilbao
12
J. Porozo
6
J. Gomez
2
J. Rodriguez

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Tijuana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tigres UANL
CD Huachipato Tijuana
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Brunetta (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia J. Zuniga (12 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Brunetta (7 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico R. Arciga (8 Assists)

Tigres UANL and Tijuana Stats in Liga MX

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
Tijuana
Tijuana
59%
Victories
39%
35%
Draw
33%
6%
Defeats
28%
3
Total goals per match
3.11
2.06
Goals scored per match
1.78
0.94
Goals conceded per match
1.33
41%
Over 2.5
50%
59%
Under 2.5
50%
53%
BTTS
50%
47%
No goals conceded
39%

Tigres UANL - Tijuana Key Points

  1. Tigres are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Tijuana are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Tigres' last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in Tijuana's last 5 games
Up to $150 to bet on Tigres UANL - Tijuana! 

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Our Tigres UANL vs Tijuana Prediction

The hosts remain anchored by several experienced players who regularly influence high-pressure fixtures. André-Pierre Gignac stays central to their attacking plans, with his movement and finishing ability often shaping the pace of Tigres' forward play. Enner Valencia supports him with creativity and mobility, frequently drifting into pockets to link phases of possession. In midfield, Guido Pizarro provides balance and positional control, helping maintain tempo, while goalkeeper Nahuel Guzmán brings leadership and composure in critical moments.

Tijuana enter the second leg leaning heavily on quick counterattacks. Forward Frank Boya poses the main threat in transition, using direct runs to stretch back lines. Gilberto Mora gives additional pace and can exploit open channels when Tigres push numbers forward. Despite their advantage, Tijuana's defensive structure remains a question, as they have struggled throughout the season when forced into long spells without the ball.

The match will likely hinge on how early Tigres can find a breakthrough. A fast start would increase pressure on Tijuana and energize the home crowd, while prolonged frustration would play into the visitors' preferred defensive rhythm. Tigres have the attacking quality to produce multiple goals, but the margin for error is minimal. A high-tempo approach, sharp finishing, and reduced defensive lapses will be essential if they hope to reverse the aggregate score. Our prediction for Tigres UANL vs. Tijuana: Under 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 3.5 goals

-128
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Tigres UANL vs Tijuana Picks