Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 7/13/25, 10:25 AM  by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and Houston Astros wrap up their divisional series today at Daikin Park, with each team having claimed one win apiece in the first two games. This rubber match carries added weight for both clubs, who are each seeking consistency in the second half of the season. Despite Houston's bounce-back victory in Game 2, both lineups have struggled at times this year to deliver runs efficiently, which could make today’s pitching matchup even more significant.

Houston enters the finale averaging 4.0 runs per game, putting them at 22nd in the league. While their overall team batting average sits near .250, they’ve proven more effective on the road. However, one red flag for the Astros is their performance during afternoon games, where they hit below .160, the worst among all daytime splits in the league. That contrast could be critical in today’s outcome, especially with shadows and afternoon glare often complicating hitter visibility.

The Rangers, meanwhile, have their own offensive concerns. Despite scoring 4.22 runs per game, only slightly better than Houston, they’re hitting just .184 as a team, which ranks dead last in the majors. Texas has also struggled to maintain offensive rhythm, often failing to capitalize on runners in scoring position. Their on-base and slugging percentages both sit near the bottom of league rankings, underscoring their inability to create consistent pressure on opposing pitchers.