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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Cleveland Guardians will try to clinch the AL Central title on Sunday in Game 3 of their series against the Texas Rangers at Progressive Field.
The Guardians opened as the favorites despite carrying a 1-4 record in their last five meetings with the Rangers.
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After absorbing back-to-back losses to Detroit 2-4 and Texas 3-7, the Guardians got back into the winner’s column after edging the Rangers 3-2 on Saturday. The win has allowed Cleveland to hold on to the No.1 spot in the AL Central despite sharing a similar 87-74 record with the Tigers. Cleveland must win Sunday’s regular-season finale with the Rangers to clinch the division title. Cleveland wins their regular-season series against Detroit 8-5 to earn the tiebreaker in case of a tie.
Already eliminated from the playoffs, the Rangers will try to play the spoiler’s role in Cleveland’s bid to win the AL Central title on Sunday. Texas had won four straight head-to-head matches against the Guardians before dropping 2-3 loss on Saturday.
Starting Pitchers Matchup:
Rangers LHP Patrick Corbin (7-11, 4.34 ERA) vs. Guardians LHP Logan Allen (8-11, 4.11 ERA).
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Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
10
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0.543 | 162 | 88 | 74 |
16
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0.5 | 162 | 81 | 81 |
Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Texas Rangers against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
Aug 22, 2025 - MLB
Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Texas Rangers - Cleveland Guardians Key Points
- The Rangers are 4-1 in their last five games against the Guardians
- Rangers starter Patrick Corbin is 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his last five starts.
- Guardians starter Logan Allen is 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in his last five starts.
- The Guardians are 2-2 in their last four games at home.
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Our Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
The Rangers look like a solid pick to upset the Guardians in this season finale. The Texans are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Guardians. Patrick Corbin, the projected starter for Sunday, has pitched to a 2.63 ERA over his previous five starts. He is expected to present a lot of trouble to a Guardians’ offense that averages 3.2 runs per game against left-handed pitchers this season.
Meanwhile, Cleveland will lean on Logan Allen, who has a 5.38 ERA over his last five starts. Allen also surrendered nine earned runs over five innings in his previous start against the Rangers on August 23. It would be interesting to see how Allen will handle the pressure of containing the Rangers with the AL Central title on the line.
Fearless Forecast: Rangers 6, Guardians 2
Our betting prediction for the Texas Rangers vs. the Cleveland Guardians: the Rangers will win.
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