Houston vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball
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by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Basketball Picks
The Texas A&M Aggies (22-11) will take on the Houston Cougars (29-6) in the second round of the NCAA Tournament today at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK. Game time is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. EST, and the game will be broadcast on TNT.
Texas A&M is coming off an upset win over Saint Mary’s in the first round, 63-50, a game they were pretty much in control of throughout. The Aggies did a lot of the things they do well in that game (and will need to do against Houston). They used their physical nature and size to dominate the paint (28-12) and committed just ten fouls to Saint Mary’s 18, which gave A&M an edge at the free-throw line (9-13 compared to 4-11). Other significant statistical differences included assists (15-8) and steals (12 to 5).
As for Houston, in their first-round matchup vs. Idaho, it was business as usual. The Cougars' defense dominated the Vandals, holding them to 29% shooting from the floor and only 20% from 3-point range. Houston had Idaho double at the half, 48-24, and cruised to a 78-47 victory after dominating in the paint (36-16) and on the boards (47 to 32).
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Houston and Texas A&M Aggies Latest Matches
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Houston - Texas A&M Aggies Key Points
- Houston and Texas last played in the second round of the 2023-24 Tournament; the Cougars needed overtime to secure a 100-95 win.
- Houston is 17-18 ATS this season, while Texas A&M is 19-14 ATS.
- Houston is 16-16 ATS when favored; Texas A&M is 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
- Betting Public: 42% of spread tickets and 30% of the handle are on Texas A&M.
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Our Houston vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction
Houston has been one of the best teams in the country, so it makes sense that they are significant favorites in this game. However, it is not a great matchup for them. Like Houston, the Aggies prefer to play a physical style of game, and they are very good at what they do (which takes away a big edge Houston has over many teams). The Cougars tend to foul a lot (18 per game), but as 73.6% free-throw shooters, the Aggies may not take full advantage of it. But if Texas A&M can get Houston’s bigs into early foul trouble, they can take away the Cougars’ size advantage.
Texas A&M’s lack of offensive efficiency is what could/will do them in against an ultra-efficient team like Houston. However, much like the 2023-24 matchup, in which the Cougars were 8.5-point favorites, the Aggies will make a game of it.
Our Texas A&M vs. Houston Pick: Aggies +11.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
