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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays will be in the nation’s capital this weekend for a three-game series with the Washington Nationals. Game One of the series is today at 6:45 p.m. EST at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. Both teams come into the series off losses; the Rays lost their last two vs. the Guardians in Cleveland, while the Nationals are fresh off getting swept by the Yankees in the Bronx.
Tampa Bay will go with Adrian Houser on the mound to start the day. Houser is 7-4 in 15 starts with a 2.88 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and .263 OBA. He’s gone 1-4 in nine road starts with a 3.48 ERA and .291 OBA. He looked good in his last road start (vs. San Francisco, Aug. 16), pitching five shutout innings, giving up four hits and striking out six. But in his previous two, he gave up four and five runs (he took the loss in both). As for the home team Nationals, they’ll give the ball to Mitchell Parker to start. The young righty is 7-14 in 26 starts with a 6.01 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and .276 OBA. But most of his wins have come at home, where he is 5-7 with a 5.45 ERA and .292 OBA.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
0.481 | 133 | 64 | 69 |
|
28
|
0.398 | 133 | 53 | 80 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Washington Nationals Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 21, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 13, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Jun 30, 2024 - MLB
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Sep 16, 2020 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays - Washington Nationals Key Points
- Tampa Bay leads the all-time series vs. Washington, 22-21.
- Washington hasn’t won a home game vs. the Rays since June 2, 2021 (4-3).
- Houser has gone 1-2 in four starts for the Rays since being acquired from the White Sox; he has given up 4+ runs in three starts and zero runs in the other.
- Betting Public: 73% of TOTAL tickets and 74% of the handle are on the OVER (9).
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Overall, Houser has had a solid season; just not since he’s been acquired by the Rays; he’s been good for at least five innings, but has a 5.32 ERA. Parker has given up 28 runs this month across five starts (seven home runs). Neither pitcher is going to impose their will on the opposing lineup, but then again, neither has been hitting well (Tampa Bay: .248, Washington: .227). In such scenarios, it is hard to pick a winner, but I think both lineups will hit a little better today against subpar pitching.
Our Rays vs. Nationals Pick: OVER 9
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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