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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays will visit the Toronto Blue Jays for their final regular-season series starting on Friday at Rogers Center.
The Rays, 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Blue Jays, have emerged as intriguing +154 road underdogs ahead of the series-opener.
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The Rays are 2-3 in their last five games, earning the two wins in this stretch in Game 2 against the Red Sox (7-3) and Game 2 against the Orioles (6-2). Holding a 77-84 record, Tampa Bay sits fourth in the AL East, two games ahead of the cellar-dwelling Orioles (75-84). Over the last five games, the Rays have averaged 4.3 runs per game on a .262 BA while posting a 4.40 ERA.
The Jays are 2-3 in their last five assignments, winning the final game of their series against the Red Sox 6-1 to prevent a devastating sweep. The Jays and the Yankees have similar records of 91-68, but Toronto still occupies the No.1 spot in the AL East because it won its regular-season series against the Yankees. The Jays have a 3.89 ERA and averaged only 3.5 runs per game in their last five games.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.572 | 159 | 91 | 68 |
|
20
|
0.484 | 159 | 77 | 82 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays against Toronto Blue Jays : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 18, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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Tampa Bay Rays - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home.
- Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
- Tampa Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games against Toronto.
- Tampa Bay is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games.
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with the Blue Jays, underscoring Tampa Bay’s head-to-head superiority over Toronto this year. Moreover, the Rays are 4-2 in their previous 6 games where they are the underdogs. Adam Houser, acquired from the Chicago White Sox in the midseason, has posted a 3-2 record with a 4.13 ERA in his last five starts. Houser has only surrendered three earned runs over his last 13.1 innings against the Blue Jays, who are batting .186 with an average of 3.5 runs per game over the last five games.
Toronto would have locked up the AL East title had it not gone 2-6 in its last 8 games. Projected starter Shane Bieber has sported a 3.99 ERA in his last five mound appearances, though Toronto’s starting pitchers have logged a 5.48 ERA over the previous five games. Toronto understands this game could make or break their AL East title hope, so expect them to go all-out right from the start. However, ignoring the Rays’ head-to-head dominance over the Jays this year is also hard.
Our betting prediction for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. the Tampa Bay Rays: the Rays will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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