New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

New York Yankees
10/7/26 20:00
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

New York to win

-160
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 by Bill Christy in MLB Picks

The New York Yankees are in a must-win situation tonight when they host the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS. They currently trail 2-0 in the series, and a loss here would all but end the Yankees' postseason run.

In game one, Gerrit Cole was outdueled by Drew Rasmussen. Cole allowed just 1 run over 5 innings while Rasmussen went 8 innings of scoreless work and struck out 10 Yankee batters. Jonathan Aranda hit a solo home run off Cole in the 3rd inning, which proved to be the only run the Rays needed. Bryan Baker relieved Rasmussen in the 9th and struck out 2 to pick up the save.

In game two, Freddy Peralta pitched another strong outing for the Rays. It was not as masterful as Rasmussen, but his 1 earned run over 4.2 innings was good enough. Cam Schlittler of the Yankees allowed 4 runs, with only 2 of them being earned over 4.1 innings. 6 different Rays recorded hits in the 5-2 win and now have themselves primed to take a stranglehold on this series.

Tonight, Nick Martinez will make his 1st start of this postseason for the Rays. For the Yankees, they will have veteran Max Fried start his 2nd game of this postseason.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 30, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Sep 29, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  0
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  10
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
8 :  4
New York Yankees

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
2 :  9
New York Yankees

Sep 16, 2026 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  4
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 17, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
10 :  1
Athletics
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

50 %

Tampa Bay Rays

50 %

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  6
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 22, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks

New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  2. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
  3. Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 road games.
  4. Rays are 1-3 in Martinez’s last 4 starts.

Our New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Yankees know this is a game they can not lose. With Max Fried on the mound, we like the Yankees in this spot. Fried comes off a strong 6 innings against the Red Sox, allowing just 1 run and taking the win. We expect him to have another strong outing tonight and help extend this series to at least a 5th game. Austin Wells has been the most consistent hitter for the Yankees and should continue his hot time at the plate tonight.

Our prediction for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: New York to win

Prediction:

 

New York to win

-160
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.