Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5/2/25 19:05
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks

After getting swept at home by the Kansas City Royals, the Tampa Bay Rays will try to get back on the right side of the scoreboard today when they travel to New York to face the Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Fans can follow the action on the MLB Network once the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. EST.

Most teams prefer to play at home, but the road may be just where the Rays need to be. Before heading home for the series vs. Kansas City, the Rays had won five in a row on the road (two vs. Arizona in extra innings and a series sweep of San Diego). The most significant difference between how they played during those games, compared to their last homestand, is that there was no offense. They didn’t have a ton during that winning streak, but it was enough to get the win with the pitching staff playing well.

Of course, containing the Yankees' bats at Yankee Stadium is easier said than done. Tampa Bay is expected to start Ryan Pepiot. He got his second win of the season in his last outing, vs. San Diego (4-1), but lost his start prior to that vs. the Yankees (0-4). New York is handing the ball to Max Fried. Fried is 5-0 on the year with a 1.19 ERA. He shut the Rays out on April 20, pitching 7 2/3 innings of two-hit ball.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Form

Table

Teams % P W L
8
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
0.594 32 19 13
21
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
0.438 32 14 18

Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
San Diego Padres
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 1, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
8 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  10
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Apr 26, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
4 :  1
San Diego Padres

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
San Diego Padres

Apr 24, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  4
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
7 :  6
Arizona Diamondbacks

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
15 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  5
New York Yankees

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  11
New York Yankees

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  2
New York Yankees
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
1 :  5
New York Yankees

Apr 27, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  11
New York Yankees

Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  2
New York Yankees

Apr 16, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 15, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  4
New York Yankees

Apr 14, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  4
New York Yankees
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
15 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Apr 23, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Rays

17 %

New York Yankees

83 %

Apr 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  10
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  0
Tampa Bay Rays

Apr 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  3
New York Yankees

Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
7 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The Yankees lead the all-time series vs. the Rays 268-204.
  2. Tampa Bay is 1-3 vs. New York this season and has been outscored 19-13 and shut out twice.
  3. Max Fried has given up five runs across six starts; Ryan Pepiot has given up 16 this season, ten in his last three starts.
  4. Betting Splits: 91% of moneyline tickets and 96% of the handle are on the Yankees.

Our Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

I would take the Yankees to win this game, but I wouldn’t take the run line, and there is no value in betting on the New York moneyline. However, I don’t see the Rays doing much damage with Fried on the mound. At the same time, I don’t expect the Yankees' lineup to destroy Pepiot.

Our Rays vs. Yankees Pick: UNDER 8.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 8.5

-110
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Picks