Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
10/15/26 13:00
Tampa Bay Rays

Prediction:

 

UNDER 6.5

+100
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks

The ALCS moves to Ohio for Game 3 between the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64, 43-38 Away) and the Cleveland Guardians (85-77, 41-40 Home).  First Pitch is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST at Progressive Field with coverage provided by TBS.

Tampa Bay led early in Game 1 with two runs in the bottom of the first. But the Cleveland lineup came alive once the Rays went to the bullpen, scoring six runs over the last three innings to secure a 7-3 victory.  However, in Game 2, they couldn't replicate that late-game offense and fell to the Rays 3-1.

Cleveland is expected to start Game 3 with Gavin Williams on the mound. Williams has been phenomenal in the postseason, pitching 11 2/3 innings across three games vs. the White Sox. He gave up just six hits and two earned runs (1.54 postseason ERA) while striking out 24. In the regular season, he went 8-4 in 18 home starts with a 2.84 ERA and a .201 OBA.

Griffin Jax is set to start for the Rays. He appeared in one game for the Rays in the ALDS, pitching two innings, allowing one hit and one earned run, and striking out four.  Jax had a 3.61 ERA in road games this season, going 4-5 in 18 appearances (10 starts) with a  .255 OBA.

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Form

Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  0
Chicago White Sox

Oct 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
5 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Chicago White Sox
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 10, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
2 :  0
Chicago White Sox

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Chicago White Sox

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  3
Chicago White Sox

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
1 :  0
Athletics

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
12 :  6
Athletics

Sep 18, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
5 :  3
Athletics
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 8, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
5 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 7, 2026 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  9
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
3 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  11
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 5, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  2
New York Yankees

Oct 3, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Sep 20, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
5 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 19, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 7, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 27, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 26, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  12
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 25, 2026 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 24, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 23, 2026 - MLB

New York Yankees
9 :  2
Tampa Bay Rays

Cleveland Guardians against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)

Cleveland Guardians

33 %

Tampa Bay Rays

67 %

Oct 13, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  1
Cleveland Guardians

Oct 12, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  7
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 26, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
1 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 25, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
3 :  0
Cleveland Guardians

Jul 24, 2026 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
11 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Apr 29, 2026 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  1
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks

Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points

  1. Since 2000, 16 of the teams that won Game 3 of the ALCS went on to win the series. But the Game 3 winner is 3-3 since the 2020 season.
  2. Tampa Bay went 5-1 vs. the Guardians during the regular season.
  3. Tampa Bay hit .276 against Gavin Williams this season) (16-58).
  4. Cleveland is 50-47 when the betting favorite; Tampa Bay is 27-22 when an underdog.

Our Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Games like this are a little harder to predict because you can’t be too sure how a team will respond. After a Game 1 win, the offense disappeared in Game 2, leading to a tight 3-1 contest. If you want a winner, I’m leaning toward the Guardians in a low-scoring game. However, if Cleveland doesn’t win, I think the final score will still be relatively low.

Our Rays vs. Guardians Pick: UNDER 6.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 6.5

+100
$200 offered for betting!

A Welcome Bonus for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays!

DraftKings Welcome Bonus 200

Looking to place a bet on Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays? For this MLB match, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$200 in bonus bets for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.