Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Travis Pulver | in MLB Picks
The ALCS moves to Ohio for Game 3 between the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64, 43-38 Away) and the Cleveland Guardians (85-77, 41-40 Home). First Pitch is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST at Progressive Field with coverage provided by TBS.
Tampa Bay led early in Game 1 with two runs in the bottom of the first. But the Cleveland lineup came alive once the Rays went to the bullpen, scoring six runs over the last three innings to secure a 7-3 victory. However, in Game 2, they couldn't replicate that late-game offense and fell to the Rays 3-1.
Cleveland is expected to start Game 3 with Gavin Williams on the mound. Williams has been phenomenal in the postseason, pitching 11 2/3 innings across three games vs. the White Sox. He gave up just six hits and two earned runs (1.54 postseason ERA) while striking out 24. In the regular season, he went 8-4 in 18 home starts with a 2.84 ERA and a .201 OBA.
Griffin Jax is set to start for the Rays. He appeared in one game for the Rays in the ALDS, pitching two innings, allowing one hit and one earned run, and striking out four. Jax had a 3.61 ERA in road games this season, going 4-5 in 18 appearances (10 starts) with a .255 OBA.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Cleveland Guardians against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- Since 2000, 16 of the teams that won Game 3 of the ALCS went on to win the series. But the Game 3 winner is 3-3 since the 2020 season.
- Tampa Bay went 5-1 vs. the Guardians during the regular season.
- Tampa Bay hit .276 against Gavin Williams this season) (16-58).
- Cleveland is 50-47 when the betting favorite; Tampa Bay is 27-22 when an underdog.
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Our Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Games like this are a little harder to predict because you can’t be too sure how a team will respond. After a Game 1 win, the offense disappeared in Game 2, leading to a tight 3-1 contest. If you want a winner, I’m leaning toward the Guardians in a low-scoring game. However, if Cleveland doesn’t win, I think the final score will still be relatively low.
Our Rays vs. Guardians Pick: UNDER 6.5
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