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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a wave of momentum as they head into the second game of their three-game set against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. After taking the opening game of the series in a high-scoring 10-8 victory, the Rays are eyeing their third straight series win. They’ve recently taken down both the Texas Rangers and the Miami Marlins following a split against the Houston Astros, giving them wins in four of their last six outings and six of their last eight overall.
Currently sitting second in the American League East, the Rays are looking to further solidify their position in the standings. Their offense has been effective, particularly against right-handed pitching, which bodes well for them as they’re set to face Boston starter Lucas Giolito.
Giolito has had a rough stretch recently, surrendering 14 earned runs over his last four appearances. His command and consistency have been shaky, which could spell trouble against a Rays lineup that has found its rhythm.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are trying to bounce back and avoid dropping further behind in the divisional race. After a tough series loss to the Los Angeles Angels, they responded by taking two of three from the New York Yankees.
However, they remain four games back of the Rays in the standings, holding down the fourth spot in the AL East. Tuesday’s game presents a crucial opportunity for Boston to chip away at Tampa Bay’s lead.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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11
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0.529 | 68 | 36 | 32 |
21
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0.486 | 70 | 34 | 36 |
Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

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Tampa Bay Rays against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
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Tampa Bay Rays - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The Rays are 19-16 SU after a win this season
- The Red Sox are 16-19 SU after a loss this season
- The Over is 25-38-3 for the Rays this season
- The Over is 33-33-2 for the Red Sox this season
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Our Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston has struggled at home recently, losing four of their last five games at Fenway Park. Their bullpen has also been unreliable in those contests, compounding the pressure on Giolito to deliver a strong outing. If the bullpen continues to falter, the Rays’ aggressive and opportunistic offense could exploit those late-inning vulnerabilities.
On the flip side, Tampa Bay will send promising right-hander Ryan Pepiot to the mound. Pepiot has been impressive, allowing only two runs over his last three starts. His recent performances have helped stabilize the Rays' rotation, and he’ll be supported by a bullpen that ranks among the top five in the majors. That depth gives Tampa Bay a significant advantage, especially if the game stays close late.
With momentum, stronger recent form, and a favorable pitching matchup, the Rays are in a solid position to extend their series win streak and tighten their grip on second place in the division. Our prediction for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Rays to win.
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