Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
12/27/25 19:00
Florida Panthers

Prediction:

 

Panthers to win

-120
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 by Taavi Pailk in NHL Picks

State rivals, the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, meet up for the third time this season on Saturday night at Amerant Bank Arena.

The two have split their previous two meetings, with both sides winning on the road. Most recently, Florida beat Tampa Bay 5-2 on Dec. 15, and the Lightning triumphed 3-1 in November. Their third head-to-head meeting comes with only one point separating the teams in the Atlantic Division standings.

The Panthers have enjoyed their best stretch of the season lately, winning eight of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Lightning have been going through a frustrating spell. In December, Jon Cooper’s men have lost seven of their 11 outings.

Cooper’s team has been hit hard by injuries, seriously disrupting its rhythm. However, starting goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy recently returned to the lineup, and the results have begun to improve. On Saturday, Tampa Bay has a chance to record a third consecutive victory.

In this matchup, neither side has won consecutive regular-season games since the last campaign. The two are among the elite teams in the league, and games between them are almost always very competitive and tight.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
5
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
47 38 22 16 25
8
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers
42 37 20 17 1

Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
New York Islanders

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
8 :  4
New Jersey Devils
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 22, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
1 :  4
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
4 :  6
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 18, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
2 :  1
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  3
New York Islanders

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
8 :  4
New Jersey Devils

Dec 9, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
6 :  1
Montreal Canadiens

Dec 8, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
0 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 2, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
1 :  2
New York Islanders

Nov 29, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
4 :  1
New York Rangers
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
6 :  2
Florida Panthers

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  4
Florida Panthers

Dec 17, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
2 :  3
Florida Panthers

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  0
Dallas Stars
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 20, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
6 :  2
Florida Panthers

Dec 19, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  4
Florida Panthers

Dec 17, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
2 :  3
Florida Panthers

Dec 7, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
1 :  4
Florida Panthers

Dec 6, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
6 :  7
Florida Panthers

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Nashville Predators
2 :  1
Florida Panthers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 13, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  0
Dallas Stars

Dec 11, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  6
Colorado Avalanche

Dec 10, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
4 :  3
Utah Mammoth

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
8 :  3
Nashville Predators

Tampa Bay Lightning against Florida Panthers : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Lightning

33 %

Florida Panthers

67 %

Dec 15, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
5 :  2
Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
3 :  1
Florida Panthers

Apr 30, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 28, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
2 :  4
Florida Panthers

Apr 26, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  1
Florida Panthers

Apr 24, 2025 - NHL

Florida Panthers
2 :  0
Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers Key Points

  1. Including the playoffs, these teams have met 11 times since the start of last season, with Florida winning seven and Tampa Bay four.
  2. Florida is tied for the third-most home wins in the league, going 12-7-2 at Amerant Bank Arena.
  3. Tampa Bay holds a 10-4-3 road record this season.
  4. The Panthers lead the league with three multi-goal third-period comeback victories in 2025-26.

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction

Florida beat Tampa Bay comfortably less than two weeks ago and has found some great form near the end of the calendar year. Only Colorado and Minnesota have won more home games than Paul Maurice’s team, and the Panthers appear to be in a good spot to make it 13 wins in 22 home games.

While the Lightning have Vasilevskiy back in the fold, they remain without key players. In Brandon Hagel, the team has lost its top goal-scorer, while Victor Hedman’s absence from defense has a huge impact on both ends of the ice.

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers: Panthers to win.

Prediction:

 

Panthers to win

-120
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Picks