New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 16:05
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction:

 

Over 47.5

+112
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be looking to bounce back and reaffirm their NFC credentials when they host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. After a disappointing 24-9 loss to the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football, Tampa Bay has a lot to prove. The Buccaneers entered that game as one of the NFC's top contenders but fell short in every aspect — from offensive rhythm to red-zone efficiency.

The defeat dropped them to 5-2, but they remain tied for the best record in the NFC and hold a one-game lead over the 4-3 Carolina Panthers in the NFC South. A divisional victory this week would allow them to enter their bye on a strong note, maintaining control of the division and momentum for the second half of the season.

Tampa Bay's issues against Detroit stemmed largely from offensive inconsistency. Quarterback Baker Mayfield struggled under pressure, completing under 60% of his passes and missing several deep throws that could have swung the game. The Lions' defense, led by Aidan Hutchinson, forced the Bucs into long-yardage situations that exposed the offensive line's weaknesses. Still, Tampa Bay's defense has been among the best in the league at generating turnovers and stopping the run, and that could be the key factor against a New Orleans team that has struggled to move the ball efficiently all year.

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.471 17 8 9
25 New Orleans Saints
0.353 17 6 11

New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest Matches

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
26 :  14
New Orleans Saints

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
26 :  14
New York Giants

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
44 :  13
New Orleans Saints

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
21 :  26
San Francisco 49ers
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  25
New England Patriots

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
26 :  14
New York Giants

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
21 :  26
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  25
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  20
Washington Commanders
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
26 :  14
New Orleans Saints

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
44 :  13
New Orleans Saints

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 23, 2024 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
34 :  0
New Orleans Saints

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
11 :  14
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  19
San Francisco 49ers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
35 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25 :  31
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  19
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25 :  31
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Washington Commanders

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48 :  14
Carolina Panthers
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
35 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
26 :  24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  40
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans Saints against Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Saints

25 %

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

75 %

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
27 :  51
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  23
New Orleans Saints

Dec 5, 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 :  16
New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Points

  1. The Bucs are 10-0 in their last 10 games vs. NFC teams on a losing streak
  2. The road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games between the Buccaneers and Saints
  3. The Saints are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 October games as underdogs
  4. The Over is 11-3 in the last 14 games between NFC South teams

Our New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

The Saints enter this matchup reeling from a rough 1-6 start to the season, including a deflating 20-10 road loss to the Chicago Bears last week. Poor weather conditions and Chicago's aggressive defense limited the Saints to just 253 total yards while forcing four turnovers. Quarterback Derek Carr, who was signed in the offseason to stabilize the offense, has yet to find consistent chemistry with his receivers, particularly star wideout Chris Olave. The running game has been equally underwhelming, with Alvin Kamara averaging well below four yards per carry.

However, the one bright spot for New Orleans has been its defense. Since Week 5, the Saints have ranked eighth in the league in EPA allowed per play, showing discipline in coverage and toughness in the red zone. Even in last week's loss, they held the Bears to 3-for-12 on third downs and just two touchdowns in six red-zone trips. The problem, though, is that the defense is constantly being asked to compensate for offensive failures — a formula that rarely leads to success in the NFL.

Recent history also favors Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers have won five of the last six meetings between the teams, including a 51-27 blowout in New Orleans and a 27-19 win at home last season. With Mayfield likely to lean on receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and the defense poised to exploit the Saints' turnover woes, the Bucs appear to have the upper hand once again. If Tampa Bay can establish early control and avoid giving the Saints short fields, they should be able to cruise to a comfortable win and solidify their position atop the NFC South. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints: Over 47.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 47.5

+112
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks