Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Carlos Zabala in NFL Picks
The Buccaneers had a chance to win against the Panthers, trailing by 3, but Baker Mayfield had a final drive with plenty of time left. That drive ended in the worst possible way after eight plays, when Mayfield threw a short pass that was intercepted with 49 seconds on the clock, giving Carolina the victory.
With this loss, Tampa Bay's record is now 7-8. Although they are 6-point favorites to beat the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, another Buccaneers loss could deprive them of the postseason for the first time in five seasons.
With this loss, the Buccaneers have only lost in December; against the Saints, Falcons, and Panthers, they lost all those games by no more than 4 points. Although Tampa Bay achieved remarkable efficiency on third down against Carolina, converting 8 of 14, Mayfield himself acknowledged that the large number of offensive penalties was the reason for the loss.
Now Tampa will face Miami, a losing team that's on the opposite trajectory; they won all their games in November before slowing down again and losing to the Steelers and Bengals in Weeks 15 and 16.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
0.438 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
|
21
|
0.438 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
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2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
Dec 15, 2025 - NFL
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Miami Dolphins Key Points
- The Dolphins have a 4-4 home record; the Buccaneers have a 4-4 road record
- The Buccaneers' record against the spread this season is 5-10
- The Dolphins' De Von Achane is averaging 5.76 yards per carry and has eight touchdowns this season
- Baker Mayfield has been intercepted once in each of his last three games
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Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
In November, the Dolphins' defense peaked, holding the Bills and Commanders to 13 points. The Saints scored 17 points. But for some reason, the Dolphins' game plan recently crumbled when they allowed 28 points to the Steelers and 45 to the Bengals.
Even so, the Buccaneers' recent form suggests it's a bad idea to bet on Tampa Bay covering the spread; they failed to do so in eight of their last ten games, while the Dolphins have consistently done so at Hard Rock Stadium.
Our prediction for Dolphins vs Buccaneers is: Dolphins +5.5.
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