Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/28/25 13:00
Miami Dolphins

Prediction:

 

Dolphins +5.5.

-108
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 by Carlos Zabala in NFL Picks

The Buccaneers had a chance to win against the Panthers, trailing by 3, but Baker Mayfield had a final drive with plenty of time left. That drive ended in the worst possible way after eight plays, when Mayfield threw a short pass that was intercepted with 49 seconds on the clock, giving Carolina the victory.

With this loss, Tampa Bay's record is now 7-8. Although they are 6-point favorites to beat the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, another Buccaneers loss could deprive them of the postseason for the first time in five seasons.

With this loss, the Buccaneers have only lost in December; against the Saints, Falcons, and Panthers, they lost all those games by no more than 4 points. Although Tampa Bay achieved remarkable efficiency on third down against Carolina, converting 8 of 14, Mayfield himself acknowledged that the large number of offensive penalties was the reason for the loss.

Now Tampa will face Miami, a losing team that's on the opposite trajectory; they won all their games in November before slowing down again and losing to the Steelers and Bengals in Weeks 15 and 16.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
20
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
0.438 16 7 0 9
21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.438 16 7 0 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Carolina Panthers

Dec 11, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
29 :  28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 11, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
29 :  28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
17 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
19 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
31 :  25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
Carolina Panthers

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 :  34
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 :  44
Buffalo Bills

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  3
New Orleans Saints

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
38 :  35
Seattle Seahawks
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
45 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Dec 15, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
15 :  28
Pittsburgh Steelers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
New York Jets

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
13 :  16
Miami Dolphins

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
13 :  30
Miami Dolphins
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
45 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
17 :  21
Miami Dolphins

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
13 :  16
Miami Dolphins

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
13 :  30
Miami Dolphins

Oct 30, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
28 :  6
Miami Dolphins

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
29 :  27
Miami Dolphins
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 15, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
15 :  28
Pittsburgh Steelers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
New York Jets

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
34 :  10
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
6 :  31
Cleveland Browns

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
24 :  27
Carolina Panthers

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Miami Dolphins Key Points

  1. The Dolphins have a 4-4 home record; the Buccaneers have a 4-4 road record
  2. The Buccaneers' record against the spread this season is 5-10
  3. The Dolphins' De Von Achane is averaging 5.76 yards per carry and has eight touchdowns this season
  4. Baker Mayfield has been intercepted once in each of his last three games

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

In November, the Dolphins' defense peaked, holding the Bills and Commanders to 13 points. The Saints scored 17 points. But for some reason, the Dolphins' game plan recently crumbled when they allowed 28 points to the Steelers and 45 to the Bengals.

Even so, the Buccaneers' recent form suggests it's a bad idea to bet on Tampa Bay covering the spread; they failed to do so in eight of their last ten games, while the Dolphins have consistently done so at Hard Rock Stadium.

Our prediction for Dolphins vs Buccaneers is: Dolphins +5.5.

Prediction:

 

Dolphins +5.5.

-108
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins Picks