Lithuania vs Sweden Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Lithuania
9/3/25 09:30
Sweden

Prediction:

 

The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

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 by Stephen Abiola | in EuroBasket Picks

Lithuania will look to secure their qualification to the knockout rounds of the 2025 EuroBasket when they clash with Sweden on Wednesday morning. The Lithuanians started this tournament brilliantly with back-to-back victories against Great Britain and Montenegro. However, they were humbled on Saturday by the Germans in an 88-107 loss despite Rokas Jakubaitis scoring 20 points and assisting seven. They'll be eager to return to winning ways and pip Finland to the second spot.

Sweden, meanwhile, is in a bad position, setting the stage for a thrilling clash. The Swedes are fifth in the standings with five points from four matches. That's two points behind the second-placed Lithuania. They failed to build on their 19-point win against Great Britain after losing 81-87 to Montenegro on Monday. Sweden is now in a must-win position against the Lithuanians, and it will be interesting to see how they perform in their last group game.

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Lithuania vs Sweden Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2 Lithuania
9 5 4 1 2
4 Sweden
6 5 1 4

Lithuania and Sweden Latest Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Latvia
98 :  63
Lithuania

Sep 7, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
100 :  84
Slovenia
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

Sep 7, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
100 :  84
Slovenia

Sep 5, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
68 :  87
Serbia

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
96 :  66
Mexico
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Latvia
98 :  63
Lithuania

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
104 :  110
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Montenegro
71 :  91
Lithuania

Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Egypt
67 :  93
Lithuania
Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
L L W L
Victories

1/4 (25%)

Defeats

3/4 (75%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
81 :  87
Montenegro

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
59 :  78
Sweden

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
105 :  83
Sweden

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
90 :  93
Finland
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
81 :  87
Montenegro

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
90 :  93
Finland
L W
Victories

1/2 (50%)

Defeats

1/2 (50%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
59 :  78
Sweden

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
105 :  83
Sweden
Lithuania vs Sweden Picks

Players list

Lithuania
Lithuania
J. Valanciunas D. Sirvydis

M. Normantas

G. Radzevicius

R. Giedraitis

Sweden
Sweden
V. Gaddefors

P. Larsson

M. Pantzar

L. Hakanson

S. Birgander

Substitutes

Lithuania
Lithuania
L. Birutis M. Blazevic

A. Velicka

I. Sargiunas

A. Tubelis

T. Sedekerskis

Sweden
Sweden
A. Ramstedt

T. Borg

B. Njie

D. Andersson

W. Falk

N. Spires

Lithuania - Sweden Key Points

  1. Sweden is 1-7 in their last eight matches all-time.
  2. Lithuania is 12-2 in their last 14 games all-time.
  3. Sweden is 1-6 in their last seven matches away from home.
  4. Lithuania won 70-68 in their last meeting with Sweden.
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Our Lithuania vs Sweden Prediction

Lithuania is the 13.5-point favorite in this matchup. They came into this tournament as the No. 9 seed in the FIBA EuroBasket rankings despite missing the services of key players, chiefly Domantas Sabonis and Matas Buzelis. Still, they boast one of the most efficient attacks at this competition, scoring an average of 92 points per contest. We expect them to take down the Swedes, who have conceded an average of 83.5 points per game. However, Sweden's attack isn't the worst at this event, averaging 83 PPG. They should go down with a spirited fight on Wednesday.

Our prediction for Lithuania vs Sweden: The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

Prediction:

 

The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

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$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.