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by Stephen Abiola in EuroBasket Picks
Lithuania will look to secure their qualification to the knockout rounds of the 2025 EuroBasket when they clash with Sweden on Wednesday morning. The Lithuanians started this tournament brilliantly with back-to-back victories against Great Britain and Montenegro. However, they were humbled on Saturday by the Germans in an 88-107 loss despite Rokas Jakubaitis scoring 20 points and assisting seven. They'll be eager to return to winning ways and pip Finland to the second spot.
Sweden, meanwhile, is in a bad position, setting the stage for a thrilling clash. The Swedes are fifth in the standings with five points from four matches. That's two points behind the second-placed Lithuania. They failed to build on their 19-point win against Great Britain after losing 81-87 to Montenegro on Monday. Sweden is now in a must-win position against the Lithuanians, and it will be interesting to see how they perform in their last group game.
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Sweden vs Lithuania Form
Table
Teams | Pts | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
5
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5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
Sweden and Lithuania Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 15, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Sweden - Lithuania Key Points
- Sweden is 1-7 in their last eight matches all-time.
- Lithuania is 12-2 in their last 14 games all-time.
- Sweden is 1-6 in their last seven matches away from home.
- Lithuania won 70-68 in their last meeting with Sweden.
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Our Sweden vs Lithuania Prediction
Lithuania is the 13.5-point favorite in this matchup. They came into this tournament as the No. 9 seed in the FIBA EuroBasket rankings despite missing the services of key players, chiefly Domantas Sabonis and Matas Buzelis. Still, they boast one of the most efficient attacks at this competition, scoring an average of 92 points per contest. We expect them to take down the Swedes, who have conceded an average of 83.5 points per game. However, Sweden's attack isn't the worst at this event, averaging 83 PPG. They should go down with a spirited fight on Wednesday.
Our prediction for Lithuania vs Sweden: The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.
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