Sweden vs Lithuania Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Sweden
9/3/25 09:30
Lithuania

Prediction:

 

The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

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 by Stephen Abiola in EuroBasket Picks

Lithuania will look to secure their qualification to the knockout rounds of the 2025 EuroBasket when they clash with Sweden on Wednesday morning. The Lithuanians started this tournament brilliantly with back-to-back victories against Great Britain and Montenegro. However, they were humbled on Saturday by the Germans in an 88-107 loss despite Rokas Jakubaitis scoring 20 points and assisting seven. They'll be eager to return to winning ways and pip Finland to the second spot.

Sweden, meanwhile, is in a bad position, setting the stage for a thrilling clash. The Swedes are fifth in the standings with five points from four matches. That's two points behind the second-placed Lithuania. They failed to build on their 19-point win against Great Britain after losing 81-87 to Montenegro on Monday. Sweden is now in a must-win position against the Lithuanians, and it will be interesting to see how they perform in their last group game.

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Sweden vs Lithuania Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Lithuania
Lithuania
7 4 3 1 1
5
Sweden
Sweden
5 4 1 3 -1

Sweden and Lithuania Latest Matches

Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
87 :  81
Sweden

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
78 :  59
Great Britain

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
83 :  105
Germany

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
93 :  90
Sweden

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Estonia
88 :  87
Sweden

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
61 :  78
Portugal
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
87 :  81
Sweden

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
93 :  90
Sweden

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Estonia
88 :  87
Sweden

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
73 :  70
Sweden

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Montenegro
83 :  86
Sweden

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
72 :  73
Sweden
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
78 :  59
Great Britain

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
83 :  105
Germany

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
61 :  78
Portugal

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
72 :  74
Poland

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
77 :  81
Bulgaria

Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
61 :  80
Germany
Lithuania
Lithuania Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
67 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  70
Great Britain

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
83 :  96
Lithuania

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
84 :  81
Lithuania
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
67 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
83 :  96
Lithuania

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
84 :  81
Lithuania

Aug 15, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Slovenia
72 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Georgia
54 :  77
Lithuania
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  70
Great Britain

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
109 :  105
Latvia

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
91 :  70
Turkiye

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Lithuania
82 :  48
Poland

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Lithuania
82 :  67
North Macedonia

Sweden - Lithuania Key Points

  1. Sweden is 1-7 in their last eight matches all-time.
  2. Lithuania is 12-2 in their last 14 games all-time.
  3. Sweden is 1-6 in their last seven matches away from home.
  4. Lithuania won 70-68 in their last meeting with Sweden.
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Our Sweden vs Lithuania Prediction

Lithuania is the 13.5-point favorite in this matchup. They came into this tournament as the No. 9 seed in the FIBA EuroBasket rankings despite missing the services of key players, chiefly Domantas Sabonis and Matas Buzelis. Still, they boast one of the most efficient attacks at this competition, scoring an average of 92 points per contest. We expect them to take down the Swedes, who have conceded an average of 83.5 points per game. However, Sweden's attack isn't the worst at this event, averaging 83 PPG. They should go down with a spirited fight on Wednesday.

Our prediction for Lithuania vs Sweden: The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

Prediction:

 

The Swedes to cover +13.5 spread.

-200
$500+ offered for betting!

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Sweden vs Lithuania Picks
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