Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Sunderland
12/28/25 09:00
Leeds

Prediction:

 

Sunderland to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+155
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

While most of the festive English Premier League action takes place on December 27th, there are two games due to kick off on December 28th, one of which comes our way from Stadium of Light, where Sunderland and Leeds will clash. A few months ago, most people would've viewed this as a relegation battle, but the Black Cats find themselves more involved in the fight for continental soccer right now, while the visitors have also moved away from trouble in recent weeks, so much so that they're now a chunky six points above the dreaded dropzone. 

Following a sturdy win against bitter rivals Newcastle, Regis Le Bris' men continued to make themselves tough to beat, grinding out a 0-0 tie at Brighton last time out. That results means that it's just two losses in ten EPL games for the Black Cats, who are yet to taste defeat at home in the league this season. Daniel Farke's men, who haven't won away from the comforts of Elland Road since September, couldn't be the first team to inflict a home defeat on the team that currently occupies a top-six position, could they? 

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Sunderland vs Leeds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Sunderland
Sunderland
27 17 7 6 4 2
16
Leeds
Leeds
19 17 5 4 8 -7

Sunderland and Leeds Latest Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland Latest matches
L W D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Sunderland
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

Nov 3, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Everton

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  0
Wolves

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Aston Villa
L W L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Sunderland

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland
Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sunderland against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)

Sunderland

20 %

Draw

40 %

Leeds

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
40%
BTTS
0.8
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

Feb 17, 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Sunderland

Oct 4, 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Leeds

Apr 9, 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 12, 2023 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 19, 2017 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  2
Leeds

Leeds v Sunderland last Lineups

Sunderland

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
R. Roefs
20
N. Mukiele
5
D. Ballard
15
O. Alderete
32
T. Hume
34
G. Xhaka
6
L. Geertruida
11
C. Rigg
28
E. Le Fee
24
S. Adingra
9
B. Brobbey
19
N. Okafor
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
3
G. Gudmundsson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
11
B. Aaronson
2
J. Bogle
5
P. Struijk
15
J. Bijol
6
J. Rodon
1
L. Perri

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Leeds

Missing players

Sunderland
Sunderland
Defender

A. Alese

A. Masuaku

R. Mandava

Midfielder

L. O'Nien

H. Diarra

N. Sadiki

Forward

B. Traore

C. Talbi

Leeds
Leeds
Midfielder

S. Longstaff

Forward

D. James

L. Nmecha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sunderland
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
France W. Isidor (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (7 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland G. Xhaka (4 Assists)
Best assists
Slovenia J. Bijol (2 Assists)
USA B. Aaronson (2 Assists)
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
England J. Bogle (2 Assists)
Germany A. Stach (2 Assists)

Sunderland and Leeds Stats in Premier League

Sunderland
Sunderland
Leeds
Leeds
41%
Victories
29%
35%
Draw
24%
24%
Defeats
47%
2.12
Total goals per match
3.24
1.12
Goals scored per match
1.41
1
Goals conceded per match
1.82
35%
Over 2.5
71%
65%
Under 2.5
29%
41%
BTTS
65%
35%
No goals conceded
12%

Sunderland - Leeds Key Points

  1. The hosts have scored two or more goals in three of their last five home games.
  2. The visitors haven't kept a clean sheet in the league since August.
  3. The visitors have also conceded multiple goals in four of their last five away games.
  4. The visitors are also in bottom six for expected goals conceded.
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Our Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction

The fact that Daniel Farke's men have dug deep and picked up some impressive results of late must be applauded, absolutely, and nobody can say that Sunday's visitors aren't fighting hard, because the certainly are. However, they do continue to give lots away, so much so that the very decent Black Cats look a little generously priced to notch a few goals in front of a home crowd. 

After all, we've seen Regis Le Bris' men take advantage of defensively weak teams at home on a regular basis, so the hosts probably do deserve to be priced a little shorter than +155 to score at least a couple of goals. 

Our Sunderland vs Leeds Pick: Sunderland to Score Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Sunderland to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+155
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Sunderland vs Leeds Picks