Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Sunderland
5/24/26 11:00
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-138
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Sunderland takes on Chelsea at Stadium of Light on Sunday as the Premier League season reaches its final afternoon. Sunderland enter the fixture with a chance to complete a remarkable campaign by staying in the conversation for European qualification. The Black Cats have been one of the league’s stronger promoted stories, sitting in the top half rather than fighting near the relegation places. Their recent form has been mixed, but results such as the away win at Everton and draws against Manchester United and Wolves have kept them competitive into the final weekend. They have not always controlled games for long spells, yet their structure, direct attacking and home energy have made them difficult to dismiss.

Chelsea also travel north with European qualification still in play. Their season has been uneven, with enough quality to remain in the top-half race but not enough consistency to make their final position secure before the last matchday. The London club ended a difficult league run with a narrow win over Tottenham, but their recent form does not support the idea that they have been routinely dismantling opponents. Chelsea still carry clear individual quality in possession and in the final third, though this is a side trying to finish strongly rather than one arriving in unstoppable form.

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Sunderland vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Sunderland
54 38 14 12 12 -6
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6

Sunderland and Chelsea Latest Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland Latest matches
W L L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
Sunderland

May 9, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester United

May 2, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Sunderland

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Tottenham
L L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester United

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Tottenham

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  3
Fulham

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Liverpool
W L W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
Sunderland

May 2, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Sunderland

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Sunderland

Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup

Port Vale
1 :  0
Sunderland

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Sunderland
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 19, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Tottenham

May 16, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester City

May 9, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 19, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Tottenham

May 16, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester City

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City
W W L L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 9, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Sunderland against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Sunderland

33 %

Draw

0 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

May 21, 2017 - Premier League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Sunderland

Dec 14, 2016 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Chelsea
Sunderland vs Chelsea Picks

Sunderland against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Sunderland

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
R. Roefs
6
L. Geertruida
20
N. Mukiele
13
L. O'Nien
17
R. Mandava
34
G. Xhaka
27
N. Sadiki
32
T. Hume
28
E. Le Fee
10
N. Angulo
9
B. Brobbey
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
10
C. Palmer
3
M. Cucurella
25
M. Caicedo
8
E. Fernandez
27
M. Gusto
21
J. Hato
6
L. Colwill
29
W. Fofana
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Sunderland
Sunderland
Goalkeeper

M. Ellborg

Defender

D. Cirkin

O. Alderete

Midfielder

J. Bi

H. Diarra

N. Angulo 61'

C. Rigg

E. Le Fee 90'

Forward

E. Mayenda

W. Isidor

B. Brobbey 61'

B. Traore

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

Defender

J. Acheampong

M. Gusto 85'

R. James

J. Hato 53'

T. Chalobah

P. Neto 65'

Midfielder

A. Santos

D. Essugo

J. Derry

Forward

L. Delap

M. Caicedo 85'

A. Garnacho

Missing players

Sunderland
Sunderland
Defender

D. Ballard

Midfielder

R. Mundle

C. Talbi

Chelsea
Chelsea
Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Estevao

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sunderland
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands B. Brobbey (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
France E. Le Fee (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)

Sunderland - Chelsea Key Points

  1. The Over is 2-3 in Sunderland's last 5 home games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Chelsea's last 5 away games
  3. Sunderland is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games
  4. Chelsea is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 away games
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Our Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction

For Sunderland, Brian Brobbey gives the attack a physical focal point through the middle. He can occupy center-backs, hold the ball up and give Sunderland a direct route when they need to relieve pressure. Enzo Le Fee has also been important as a creative presence, while the supporting runners around Brobbey give Sunderland a way to attack quickly when space opens. Defensively, Dan Ballard is unavailable through suspension, which is a significant loss given his role in the back line. Sunderland will need to stay compact and avoid giving Chelsea easy openings between midfield and defense.

Chelsea have the deeper squad and the greater individual talent, but the gap is not wide enough to call them overwhelming favorites. Sunderland have home advantage, a clear incentive and enough organization to make the game uncomfortable. Chelsea still carry a slight edge because of their technical quality and attacking depth, but Sunderland's season has been too strong to frame this as a routine away win. A tight, tense final-day match is the more accurate expectation. Our prediction for Sunderland vs. Chelsea: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

-138
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.