Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Sunderland
3/14/26 11:00
Brighton

Prediction:

 

Habib Diarra to Score

+400
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

After a lucky win last time out, Sunderland are once again able to look into the top half, which is just touching distance away from them. This Saturday, they welcome a fluctuating Brighton to the Stadium of Light.

The Black Cats faced a frustrating 1-0 loss in the cup the previous weekend, against League One side Port Vale, as well as experiencing troubles in the league recently too. Four out of their last five EPL games have been without a win, though their lucky escape last time out at Elland Road may have given them the boost they needed.  

Talking of rough times, Brighton aren’t in such a pleasing form as of late, winning only two out of their last nine games (two competitions). A tricky game last time out against the league leaders will have left The Seagulls looking to bounce back, but this assignment against the third-best defensive home side won’t be a piece of cake either.

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Sunderland vs Brighton Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Sunderland
54 38 14 12 12 -6
8 Brighton
53 38 14 11 13 +6

Sunderland and Brighton Latest Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland Latest matches
L W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup

Port Vale
1 :  0
Sunderland

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  3
Fulham

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Liverpool
D D W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  3
Fulham

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Liverpool

Feb 2, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
Burnley

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 28, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds
L L W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup

Port Vale
1 :  0
Sunderland

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Sunderland
Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Brighton

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Crystal Palace
W D D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

Jan 19, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Bournemouth

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  0
Burnley
D W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Brighton

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Brighton

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Brighton

Sunderland against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)

Sunderland

0 %

Draw

100 %

Brighton

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

Sunderland against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11

Sunderland

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
M. Ellborg
6
L. Geertruida
5
D. Ballard
15
O. Alderete
32
T. Hume
27
N. Sadiki
34
G. Xhaka
7
C. Talbi
19
H. Diarra
11
C. Rigg
9
B. Brobbey
18
D. Welbeck
11
Y. Minteh
13
J. Hinshelwood
25
D. Gomez
30
P. Gross
20
J. Milner
24
F. Kadioglu
5
L. Dunk
6
J. van Hecke
27
M. Wieffer
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Substitutes

Sunderland
Sunderland
Goalkeeper

S. Moore

Defender

D. Cirkin

C. Talbi 85'

J. Jones

Midfielder

J. Whittaker

H. Jones

J. Jones

L. O'Nien

D. Ballard 64'

Forward

E. Mayenda

B. Brobbey 78'

W. Isidor

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

M. De Cuyper

Y. Minteh 76'

J. Veltman

D. Gomez 90'

O. Boscagli

Midfielder

M. O'Riley

D. Welbeck 90'

Y. Ayari

J. Hinshelwood 88'

H. Howell

S. March

Forward

G. Rutter

Missing players

Sunderland
Sunderland
Goalkeeper

R. Roefs

Defender

R. Mandava

Midfielder

E. Le Fee

R. Mundle

J. Bi

Forward

B. Traore

N. Angulo

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

Forward

S. Tzimas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sunderland
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands B. Brobbey (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (13 Goals)
Best assists
France E. Le Fee (7 Assists)
Best assists
Gambia Y. Minteh (4 Assists)

Sunderland - Brighton Key Points

  1. Habib Diarra has produced ten shots in his last five games (two competitions).
  2. Diarra had three goal attempts last time out.
  3. Habib Diarra is averaging 1.72 shots per home game.
  4. Diarra has scored three goals in his last eight games.
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Our Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction

Lately, due to the injury of Sunderland’s main striker, The Senegalese has risen to the task of creating the most shots and the most expected goals for the hosts. In their last four matches against the most relevant teams to their current opponents (excluding Liverpool and Arsenal), Diarra has produced an average xG of 0.53 per game.

Moreover, all of his three goals have come in his last eight appearances for The Black Cats, implying he’s in his best form at the moment, thanks to regular playing time for his club, following an injury and international duty. 

Brighton do tend to show weakness at the back, demonstrated in Sunderland’s 14 goal attempts in the reverse fixture. In my opinion, the early market isn’t considering Diarra enough, so we can take advantage of the odds to score, or even to register a shot on target, both of which are very appealing.

Our Sunderland vs Brighton Pick: Habib Diarra to Score.

Prediction:

 

Habib Diarra to Score

+400
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sunderland vs Brighton Picks