Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Picks - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Sturm Graz
11/6/25 12:45
Nottingham Forest

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

+110
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Europa League Picks

Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest meet on Thursday in a matchup that brings together two clubs riding the momentum of breakthrough seasons. The Austrian champions will look to defend their home turf at Merkur Arena, while the English Premier League side returns to European competition for the first time in nearly three decades. Both teams have reason to approach this clash with confidence, but their differing league experiences and playing styles add a fascinating layer of contrast.

Sturm Graz retained their Austrian Bundesliga crown last season, securing the title on the final day with a decisive draw. Their campaign was built on consistency, tactical discipline, and an ability to perform under pressure. They combined strong defensive organization with a dynamic attacking system that spread goals across multiple players. The squad's balance was one of its most salient qualities, with both flanks contributing regularly to the attack while maintaining defensive stability. Their performance in the Champions League qualifiers provided exposure to higher-caliber opposition, an experience that should serve them well in this European test.

Although last season's top scorer Sandro Kulenović has since transferred to Dinamo Zagreb, Sturm Graz remain a well-drilled team with depth in attack. The club has a history of successfully integrating new signings into its system, ensuring continuity despite key departures. Their attacking structure is typically built around quick transitions and pressing high up the pitch, forcing turnovers and exploiting space in the final third. Playing at home, where they have been particularly strong, could prove pivotal once again.

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Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
11 6 3 2 1 5
29
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
4 6 1 1 4 -4

Sturm Graz and Nottingham Forest Latest Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Latest matches
W W L L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 29, 2025 - ÖFB Cup

FC Admira Wacker Modling
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 26, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  3
Wolfsberger

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 19, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Blau-Weiss Linz
3 :  4
Sturm Graz

Oct 5, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

SCR Altach
0 :  2
Sturm Graz
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  3
Wolfsberger

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
Rangers

Sep 28, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Hartberg

Sep 14, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Austria Vienna

Aug 26, 2025 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
Bodoe/Glimt

Aug 10, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  2
Rapid Wien
L W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 29, 2025 - ÖFB Cup

FC Admira Wacker Modling
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
2 :  1
Sturm Graz

Oct 19, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Blau-Weiss Linz
3 :  4
Sturm Graz

Oct 5, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

SCR Altach
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

Sep 24, 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
2 :  0
Sturm Graz
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Latest matches
L L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  2
Manchester United

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Porto

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  2
Manchester United

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Porto

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Sunderland

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
West Ham
L L D D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Sep 24, 2025 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
3 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Sturm Graz against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11

Sturm Graz

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
O. Christensen
47
E. Aiwu
4
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
35
N. Geyrhofer
23
A. Malic
19
T. Horvat
43
J. Hodl
17
E. Karic
77
M. Malone
10
O. Kiteishvili
8
F. Rozga
15
A. Kalimuendo
10
M. Gibbs-White
3
N. Williams
24
J. McAtee
6
I. Sangare
22
R. Yates
16
N. Dominguez
4
Morato
31
N. Milenkovic
37
N. Savona
13
J. Victor

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Nottingham Forest

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sturm Graz
CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
Top Goalscorer
Georgia O. Kiteishvili (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Igor Jesus (7 Goals)
Best assists
Slovenia T. Horvat (5 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Gibbs-White (3 Assists)

Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest Key Points

  1. Sturm Graz are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games
  2. Nottingham are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games
  3. The Over is 1-2 in Sturm Graz's last 3 games
  4. The Over is 2-1 in Nottingham's last 3 games
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Our Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Nottingham Forest enter the contest after their best domestic campaign in decades. Under manager Nuno Espírito Santo, Forest finished seventh in the Premier League, earning a return to European football for the first time in 29 years. The team's progress was fueled by attacking improvements—Forest scored 65 league goals, a significant tally given the competition level in England.

Defensively, Forest showed resilience despite occasional lapses, such as a 5–0 defeat to Bournemouth, but their overall record of 54 goals conceded reflected steady progress. The side's ability to recover from setbacks and secure key results against stronger opponents demonstrated growing maturity and belief.

This matchup presents an intriguing conundrum: Sturm Graz's home strength and championship mentality against Nottingham Forest's Premier League-tested quality. The Austrian side's pressing game and crowd support could trouble Forest early, but the visitors' composure and superior league experience may keep them competitive throughout.

Ultimately, the outcome may hinge on who controls midfield tempo and converts early chances. Sturm's familiarity with European opponents and home advantage might give them a marginal edge, but Forest's consistency and attacking prowess suggest they will make it a close contest. Our prediction for Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

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