Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction & Picks - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP 43
10/20/26 03:40
Aleksandar Kovacevic USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP 81

Prediction:

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic +1.5 Set Handicap

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Meeting for the second time since August of this year, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic will clash at the ATP event in Almaty on Tuesday. Having previously reached the final of this event, doing so back in 2022, the Greek player will be hoping for a big week, but to do that, he'll need to first beat a player who came out on top when the pair recently met. 

It's quite difficult for us to ignore the fact that Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas as recently as August of this year. On this basis alone, the American appears to deserve more respect from the early betting market, so much so that 'Aleksandar Kovacevic +1.5 Set Handicap' rates as a value selection at odds of +110. Tsitsipas is the player of greater prestige, but he's far from consistent, while he comes here off the back of a loss too.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Form

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic Latest Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 8, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Kimmer Coppejans
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Aleksandar Kovacevic Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Jaume Munar
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Zachary Svajda
1 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Sep 24, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lloyd Harris
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Valentin Vacherot
3 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aug 27, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Arthur Fery
2 :  1
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Stefanos Tsitsipas against Aleksandar Kovacevic : Head to Head (H2H)

Stefanos Tsitsipas

50 %

Aleksandar Kovacevic

50 %

Aug 26, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Feb 22, 2024 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Picks

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Aleksandar Kovacevic Key Points

  1. When these two players met just a few months ago, Aleksandar Kovacevic came out on top.
  2. Last time out, Aleksandar Kovacevic avoided a straight-set defeat against a higher-ranked player.
  3. Stefanos Tsitsipas failed to win in straight sets when he last faced an opponent of similar quality to Aleksandar Kovacevic.
  4. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won only one of his last four matches against lower-ranked players in straight sets.

Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas is heavily favored by the betting market at the time of writing, but let's be honest, the Greek player is far from averse to slipping up in matches of this nature, so he probably doesn't deserve to be such a strong favorite. He lost to Aleksandar Kovacevic as recently as August, while he's not exactly made light work of beating lower-ranked players in straight sets in recent times. 

All things considered, the American player looks to have a better chance of, at the very least, avoiding a straight-set defeat than the early odds imply. Anything above -115 offers value for money. 

Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Pick: Aleksandar Kovacevic +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic +1.5 Set Handicap

+110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.