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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates are set to wrap up their three-game series today, with Pittsburgh looking to complete a surprising sweep. The Pirates have dominated the first two games with back-to-back shutouts, blanking the Cardinals 7-0 in the opener and following that with a 1-0 nail-biter in game two.
Despite being at the bottom of the National League Central standings, the Pirates have now won five straight games, including a sweep of the New York Mets prior to this series. Their recent hot streak offers a glimmer of hope for a team that will need a major post-All-Star Break surge to get into Wild Card contention.
The Pirates, now 37-50, haven’t put up big offensive numbers in this series, but their pitching has been outstanding. In game two, they managed just a single run, which came in the eighth inning, but it was enough. The Pirates’ bullpen held firm under pressure, stranding multiple Cardinals runners in scoring position, including a dramatic play at the plate in the ninth inning that sealed the win. That kind of clutch defense has been a key part of Pittsburgh’s recent success.
St. Louis, on the other hand, entered this series with a 47-40 record and still holds a competitive position in the division. However, their offense has gone completely silent in the first two games, leaving runners stranded and failing to deliver in high-leverage situations. It’s an unusual slump for a lineup that typically generates steady production. Game three offers them a chance to right the ship and avoid an embarrassing sweep against a team that has struggled for much of the season.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
12
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0.534 | 88 | 47 | 41 |
25
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0.432 | 88 | 38 | 50 |
St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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St. Louis Cardinals against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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St. Louis Cardinals - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- The Pirates are 40-40 against the run line this season
- The Cards are 48-38 against the run line this season
- The Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 day games vs. the Cards after a win
- The Cards are 6-1 in their last 7 day games vs. NL Central teams after a road loss
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Our St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
On the mound for the Cardinals is Sonny Gray, who has emerged as their most reliable starter. At 35 years old, the veteran right-hander brings experience and consistency, boasting an 8-2 record with strong performances over his last five outings. He’s been a stabilizing presence in the rotation and gives the Cardinals a good shot to salvage the final game of the series.
Countering him for the Pirates is Mitch Keller, a 29-year-old righty who’s had a tough-luck season. Despite a respectable 3.90 ERA, he holds a disappointing 2-10 record, as Pittsburgh has often failed to give him run support. The team has lost four of his last five starts, and Keller will face a Cardinals offense that’s due for a breakout.
Given the matchup and the law of averages, it’s likely that St. Louis will bounce back in this series finale. Their offense has too much talent to be shut out three games in a row, and with Gray on the mound, they have the edge. Expect the Cardinals to avoid the sweep and get back on track as the second half of the season approaches. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Cards for the win.
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