Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
9/18/25 15:00
Kairat Almaty

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

-111
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 by Erik Gibbs in Champions League Picks

Sporting CP come into their upcoming game against Kairat Almaty with a mixed but mostly positive league form in Portugal. They started the Primeira Liga with an explosive 6–0 win over Arouca, followed by a 4–1 victory at Nacional, showing their firepower upfront. Their only blemish so far was a tough 2–1 loss at Porto (the national super cup), but they have otherwise looked sharp offensively.

Overall, their record is something like two wins and a loss. The Lions are scoring freely at home, and their defense has been mostly sound except against the very top teams. Morale is high after thrashing opponents and with a full roster. The team is known to build attacks through wide play and has midfielders who can chip in with goals.

Kairat Almaty, the Kazakh champions, have dominated domestically – they are atop their league – and advanced through Champions League qualifying rounds. Their winter-experiment signings are mostly paying off. Kairat’s form in competitive matches has been solid: they won the domestic Super Cup and conceded very few goals in qualifiers.

At home they score plenty; on the road they tend to play cautiously. However, their pool included heavyweights like Porto and Celtic in qualifiers, and Kairat were eliminated by both on close margins. In the domestic league they are unbeaten (something like 1–0–0 in first match, scoring goals with top scorer Dastan Satpaev). Overall, Kairat look sharp against smaller clubs but less tested against European teams.

Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat Almaty Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
0 0 0 0 0 0
8
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
0 0 0 0 0 0

Sporting Lisbon and Kairat Almaty Latest Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

Aug 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Jul 31, 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

Jul 31, 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Villarreal

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Sunderland

Jul 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  2
Celtic
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Aug 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

May 25, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

May 10, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Apr 27, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Boavista
0 :  5
Sporting Lisbon
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty Latest matches
L L D D W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

Aug 31, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 26, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Celtic

Aug 20, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Aug 16, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  3
FC Yelimai

Aug 12, 2025 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

Aug 26, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Celtic

Aug 16, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  3
FC Yelimai

Aug 6, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
SK Slovan Bratislava

Aug 2, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
Ulytau FC

Jul 29, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
3 :  0
KuPS
D L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Aug 20, 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Aug 12, 2025 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Jul 26, 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Tobol Kostanay
1 :  3
Kairat Almaty

Jul 22, 2025 - Champions League

KuPS
2 :  0
Kairat Almaty

Jul 8, 2025 - Champions League

Ljubljana
1 :  1
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty v Sporting Lisbon last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

12
J. Virginia
13
G. Vagiannidis
6
Z. Debast
25
Goncalo Inacio
91
R. Mangas
14
G. Kochorashvili
42
M. Hjulmand
7
G. Quenda
17
F. Trincao
8
P. Goncalves
97
L. Suarez
99
Ricardinho
7
Jorginho
55
V. Gromyko
15
O. Arad
20
E. Tapalov
18
D. Glazer
3
L. Mata
14
A. Martynovich
80
E. Sorokin
24
A. Mrynskiy
77
T. Anarbekov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Kairat Almaty

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Kairat Almaty
Top Goalscorer
Portugal P. Goncalves (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
Portugal P. Goncalves (3 Assists)
Portugal G. Quenda (3 Assists)
Best assists

Sporting Lisbon - Kairat Almaty Key Points

  1. Sporting CP have won 3 of their last 5 league games
  2. Kairat Almaty have 2 losses in their last 4 away Champions League games
  3. Sporting CP are 21-10 in their last 31 home games
  4. Sporting Lisbon have scored 2.5+ goals in their last 3 games

Our Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

Key players stand out on each side. For Sporting, star forwards Pedro Gonçalves (Pote) and Francisco Trincão are in great form (they have already 3–4 goals each in league), providing speed and finishing. Central midfielder Morten Hjulmand offers control and some long-range strikes.

The keeper, Adán (ex-Atletico), also gets noticed with saves. Kairat have their own talents: the Kazakh teen Dastan Satpaev has scored a bunch (top scorer with ~8 league goals) and is a livewire striker. Alongside him, veteran Portuguese forward Jorginho (36) has chipped in with goals and holds up play, and Brazilian Élder Santana adds pace up front. In midfield, Israeli Dan Glazer and Russian Alyaksandr Martynovich (defense) are experienced.

On balance, Sporting’s home advantage and higher-level competition in Portugal give them the upper hand. They are sharper against good sides (only losing narrowly to Porto recently) and have lethal finishing. Kairat, while strong in Kazakhstan, could be overmatched by Sporting’s pace and technical midfield.

However, Kairat’s confidence from winning all domestic games and solid qualifiers suggests they will be difficult on the counter. We lean to a Sporting victory at home, but not by a large margin. Sporting’s offense probably bests Kairat’s defense, yet Kairat’s resilient and disciplined play means this should be a fairly tight match. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat Almaty: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

-111
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Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat Almaty Picks