Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Picks - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
4/11/26 20:30
San Jose Earthquakes

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Major League Soccer Picks

Two teams who enjoyed contrasting fortunes last weekend will meet at Children's Mercy Park on Saturday. For SKC, it's all about bouncing back following a couple of heavy defeats. Fortunately for the hosts, Saturday's visitors haven't exactly stepped on the gas of late, so it's far from out of the question that Raphaël Wicky's men improve defensively here. Less fortunately for the hosts, the Earthquakes are a team that can keep things tight, which tells me that this may well be a more low-scoring game than the early odds suggest. 

After all, the hosts don't score many, while the visitors know how to keep it low-key at both ends of the field. Taking a more cautious approach allowed the Earthquakes to defeat the Whitecaps by a goal to zero on the road recently, while they also beat the Union by a goal to zero on the road, so do not be surprised if we see a low-scoring game here. I certainly won't be. 

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Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 San Jose Earthquakes
32 15 10 2 3 +19
29 Sporting Kansas City
11 14 3 2 9 -22

Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes Latest Matches

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City Latest matches
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
3 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  4
Colorado Rapids

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  1
San Diego FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Feb 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City
L L D D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  4
Colorado Rapids

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  1
San Diego FC

Feb 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
2 :  2
Columbus Crew

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  0
Houston Dynamo

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  2
Vancouver Whitecaps

Sep 7, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  2
Austin FC
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
3 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 14, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Feb 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Oct 4, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
4 :  1
Sporting Kansas City

Sep 13, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
2 :  1
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
San Diego FC

Mar 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
0 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Mar 15, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
0 :  1
Seattle Sounders

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
0 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Feb 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
2 :  0
Atlanta United Fc

Feb 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
San Diego FC

Mar 15, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
0 :  1
Seattle Sounders

Feb 28, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
2 :  0
Atlanta United Fc

Feb 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Oct 18, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
2 :  1
Austin FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
1 :  3
Saint Louis City SC
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
0 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Mar 7, 2026 - Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
0 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Oct 5, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
4 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Sep 27, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
0 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Aug 30, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
3 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Aug 23, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
1 :  2
San Jose Earthquakes

Sporting Kansas City against San Jose Earthquakes : Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Kansas City

50 %

Draw

17 %

San Jose Earthquakes

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  0
Sporting Kansas City

Apr 19, 2025 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
3 :  5
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 1, 2025 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
1 :  2
San Jose Earthquakes

Jul 13, 2024 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
1 :  2
Sporting Kansas City

Mar 16, 2024 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
2 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

Oct 25, 2023 - Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City
0 :  0
San Jose Earthquakes

Sporting Kansas City against San Jose Earthquakes Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Kansas City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Pulskamp
13
J. Reynolds
2
I. James
57
D. Borges
99
J. Reid
4
L. Johnsen
6
M. Garcia
16
J. Bartlett
93
S. Suleymanov
9
D. Joveljic
11
C. Harris
19
P. Judd
7
O. Bouda
10
N. Tsakiris
16
J. Skahan
14
R. Vieira
34
B. Leroux
4
D. Romney
18
R. Roberts
5
D. Munie
28
B. Kikanovic
42
Daniel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

San Jose Earthquakes

Substitutes

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Goalkeeper

J. Kortkamp

Defender

E. Bartlow

J. Miller

J. Davis

M. Garcia 66'

Midfielder

M. Tschantret

K. Agyabeng

J. Reid 81'

Forward

S. Afrifa

S. Suleymanov 66'

T. Calheira

J. Bartlett 81'

Capita

C. Harris 57'

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Goalkeeper

E. Edwards Jr.

Defender

J. Jasinski

B. Kikanovic 76'

M. Floriani

P. Marie

P. Judd 87'

Midfielder

N. Buck

N. Fernandez

J. Skahan 69'

I. Harkes

B. Leroux 69'

J. Gonzalez

Forward

N. Adimabua

Missing players

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Goalkeeper

S. Cleveland

R. Schewe

Defender

Z. Bassong

W. Meyer

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Defender

V. Costa

D. Jones

J. Ricketts

Forward

T. Werner

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Kansas City
CD Huachipato San Jose Earthquakes
Top Goalscorer
Serbia D. Joveljic (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA P. Judd (11 Goals)
Best assists
England C. Harris (3 Assists)
Best assists
USA N. Tsakiris (4 Assists)

Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes Key Points

  1. The hosts have scored more than one goal in just one of their last four games.
  2. The visitors have also scored more than one goal in just one of their last four.
  3. When the Earthquakes last played on the road, only one goal was scored.
  4. Less than three goals have been scored in three of San Jose Earthquakes' last four away games in Major League Soccer.
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Our Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

For my money, the early market has got this wrong. The betting clearly suggests that a high-scoring game is incoming, but I'm far from convinced. After all, neither team has scored loads of goals in recent weeks, while the visitors have shown a clear preference for keeping it tight on the road, which has meant that the Earthquakes have often won in low-scoring fashion. 

At the end of the day, with neither scoring too many, and with the visitors happy to take a more cautious route on their travels, a relative lack of goals appears to be more likely than the early odds suggest. 

Our Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Picks