Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction & Picks - NCAA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks
The Week 1 College Football slate concludes on Monday night with a game featuring the SMU Mustangs and the Florida State Seminoles. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mustangs and the Seminoles.
Florida State enters this game with a record of 1-0, as they are one of the few teams to have played in Week 0. To this point, the Seminoles won in Week 0 against New Mexico State, beating them by a score of 34-17. Overall, Florida State did not have too much trouble against the Aggies, but failed to cover the spread and allowed New Mexico State to get within 10 points in the fourth quarter before ultimately pulling away.
As for SMU, they enter this game having finished with a record of 9-4 in 2025-2026. The Mustangs were very competitive in the ACC, but a few untimely losses kept them out of the ACC Championship. That said, SMU ended its season with a win against Arizona in the Holiday Bowl.
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Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Form
Florida State Seminoles and SMU Mustangs Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 29, 2026 - NCAA
Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 21, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA
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Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 29, 2026 - NCAA
Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
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Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 21, 2025 - NCAA
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Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs
Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 2, 2026 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs
Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA
Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA
Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA
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Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA
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Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA
Florida State Seminoles - SMU Mustangs Key Points
- SMU averaged 32.2 points per game in 2025-2026
- SMU allowed an average of 20.5 points per game in 2025-2026
- Florida State is averaging 34.0 points per game this season
- Florida State is allowing 17.0 points per game this season
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Our Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction
While the Seminoles already have a win under their belt this season, the Mustangs are the small favorite and look to be the best betting option. SMU was a strong offensive team last season, averaging 32.2 points per game. Further, the Mustangs were also solid defensively, allowing an average of 20.5 points per game.
Further, these teams last met in the 2024-2025 season, a game where SMU beat Florida State by a score of 42-16. That result is unlikely to happen here, but the Mustangs still look to be the stronger team. For that reason and until Florida State shows they can beat a competent team, our SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles prediction is: SMU Mustangs ML.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.