South Africa vs Canada Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

South Africa
6/28/26 15:00
Canada

Prediction:

 

Canada to Win

-130
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

On Sunday afternoon, the first knockout game of the 2026 World Cup will get underway, with South Africa taking on Canada in California. 

Having played all three of their group games on home soil, the Canadians will now travel across the border and play in the US for the first time at this tournament. Fortunately, they have what can only be described as a big chance against weak opposition. 

The South Africans caused a serious upset by beating the South Koreans last time out, reaching the knockouts for the first time ever. Can they now kick on and cause an even bigger shock? The answer is no, so much so that we should not fear betting on the Canucks to come out on top.

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South Africa vs Canada Form

South Africa and Canada Latest Matches

South Africa
South Africa Latest matches
L D D L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

South Africa
1 :  0
South Korea

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
1 :  1
South Africa

Jun 11, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
South Africa

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
1 :  1
South Africa

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

South Africa
0 :  0
Nicaragua

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

South Africa
1 :  2
Panama
W L D L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

South Africa
1 :  0
South Korea

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

South Africa
0 :  0
Nicaragua

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

South Africa
1 :  2
Panama

Mar 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

South Africa
1 :  1
Panama

Jan 4, 2026 - AFCON

South Africa
1 :  2
Cameroon

Dec 22, 2025 - AFCON

South Africa
2 :  1
Angola
D L W D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
1 :  1
South Africa

Jun 11, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
South Africa

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
1 :  1
South Africa

Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON

Zimbabwe
2 :  3
South Africa

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
South Africa

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  0
South Africa
Canada
Canada Latest matches
D W D D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Qatar

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 5, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  1
Ireland

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  0
Uzbekistan

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Tunisia
D D W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Qatar

Jun 12, 2026 - World Cup

Canada
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 5, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  1
Ireland

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  0
Uzbekistan

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Tunisia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
0 :  2
Canada

Sep 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  1
Canada

Sep 5, 2025 - International Friendlies

Romania
0 :  3
Canada

Jun 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Curacao
1 :  1
Canada

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname
0 :  1
Canada

South Africa - Canada: Form Analysis

World Cup Prediction: South Africa vs Canada

After their rather horrendous opening-game display against the Mexicans, whom they lost 2-0 against, without ever really landing a glove on their opponents, the South Africans appeared to be on their way to a second defeat against the Czechs. With little more than 10 minutes of that game remaining, they won a rather fortuitous penalty, which was converted by Teboho Mokoena. That share of the spoils clearly sparked something, with Bafana Bafana beating the South Koreans during the third round of group games, keeping a clean sheet in the process, which is something that seemed impossible on the evidence of their first two defensive efforts. 

Unfortunately, they came unstuck, losing by two goals to one, leaving them to finish second, denying them the luxury of playing their first knockout match on Canadian soil.

The Canadians found themselves in pole position after two games, and having tied with Bosnia and beaten Qatar in convincing fashion, Jesse Marsch’s men knew that all they needed to top the group was a point from their final group game against the Swiss. Unfortunately, they came unstuck, losing by two goals to zero, leaving them to finish second, denying them the luxury of playing their first knockout match on Canadian soil.

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Canada v South Africa last Lineups

South Africa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Williams
20
K. Mudau
21
I. Okon
14
M. Mbokazi
6
A. Modiba
13
S. Sithole
5
T. Mbatha
12
T. Maseko
10
R. Mofokeng
7
O. Appollis
17
E. Makgopa
9
C. Larin
10
J. David
20
A. Ahmed
25
N. Saliba
6
M. Choiniere
17
T. Buchanan
22
R. Laryea
13
D. Cornelius
4
L. De Fougerolles
2
A. Johnston
16
M. Crepeau

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Canada

Substitutes

South Africa
South Africa
Goalkeeper

R. Goss

S. Chaine

Defender

T. Matuludi

S. Kabini

K. Ndamane

O. Makhanya

B. Cross

N. Sibisi

Midfielder

J. Adams

Forward

K. Sebelebele

I. Rayners

L. Foster

T. Moremi

Canada
Canada
Goalkeeper

D. St. Clair

O. Goodman

Defender

N. Sigur

A. Davies

J. Waterman

M. Bombito

Midfielder

S. Eustaquio

J. Osorio

L. Millar

J. Shaffelburg

Forward

T. Oluwaseyi

J. Nelson

P. David

Missing players

South Africa
South Africa
Midfielder

T. Zwane

Canada
Canada
Defender

A. Davies

Midfielder

I. Kone

South Africa & Canada Squad Analysis

The South Africans delivered their best performance of the tournament last time out, there can be no denying that, and off the back of that effort, head coach Hugo Broos isn’t expected to make several changes. The experienced and combative Teboho Mokoena is expected to return in midfield having served a one-game suspension for an accumulation of yellow cards. 

The experienced and combative Teboho Mokoena is expected to return in midfield having served a one-game suspension for an accumulation of yellow cards. 

The Canucks were not at their best against the Swiss, which could prompt Jesse Marsch to make a few alterations to his lineup. Liam Millar looked lively when coming on as a substitute in that game and he could replace Ali Ahmed, while having scored with his first touch, Union SG forward Promise David may just have forced himself into the starting XI. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato South Africa
CD Huachipato Canada
Top Goalscorer
South Africa T. Mokoena (1 Goals)
South Africa T. Maseko (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada J. David (3 Goals)
Best assists
South Africa T. Moremi (1 Assists)
Best assists
Canada N. Saliba (2 Assists)

South Africa - Canada Key Points

  1. The Canadians won their most recent match against a lower-ranked nation in high-scoring fashion.
  2. Against the Mexicans, the South Africans created a measly 0.08 xG.
  3. The Canadians have bettered their opponents in terms of xG in all three games at this tournament.
  4. The Canadians come here having created chances against a Swiss team that is far superior to this South African outfit.
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Our South Africa vs Canada Prediction

The South Africans may have exceeded expectations by defeating South Korea last time out, but do not rush to expect them to seriously compete against a Canadian team that should have far too much firepower for what is ultimately a weak defense. 

Hugo Broos’ men were far too open against both Mexico and Czechia, and they could’ve easily lost both of those games by wide margins. The Canadians have shown more than enough, especially in the final third, to suggest that they’re not only good enough to win this game but that they should be priced as even stronger favorites. 

Our South Africa vs Canada Pick: Canada to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Canada to Win

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South Africa vs Canada - Other Interesting Picks

Canada to Score Over 1.5 Goals

Odds -115
Based on what we’ve seen from these two teams in the tournament already, the South Africans can be expected to be up against it defensively here. Don’t be fooled into thinking that they can keep it tight just because they kept a clean sheet against an underperforming South Korea team. The Canadians have what it takes to do some serious damage here, more than the early odds would have us believe.
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A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for South Africa vs Canada!

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South Africa vs Canada match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between South Africa and Canada is scheduled for 06/28/2026 at 3:00 pm ET at SoFi Stadium in LA.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

South Africa vs Canada Picks