ATP - ATP French Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP French Open Picks
Sebastian Korda of the United States and Lorenzo Sonego of Italy are scheduled to play their sixth career head-to-head match in the first round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Sunday.
Korda offers a -165 value on the moneyline market, but Sonego is being viewed as an intriguing underdog pick at +125 because of his 3-2 head-to-head record against the American.
Current Form:
Korda secured his spot in the main draw of the 2025 Paris Masters after securing wins over Vit Kopriva 6-2, 7-5 and Valentin Royer 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 in the qualifying stage. Korda reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stockholm Open, but bombed out in the first round at Basel after losing to Ugo Humbert 3-6, 4-6. Korda, who owns a 64 percent win rate in indoor matches, is 4-3 on this particular playing condition in 2025.
Sonego also suffered a similar fate as Korda in his last two tournaments. The Italian made it through to the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stockholm Open and then got knocked over by Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-7, 4-6 in the first round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel. Sonego is 3-4 in indoor matches this year and has a career 55 percent win rate in indoor conditions.
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Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Form
Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 20, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 17, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 16, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 15, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 26, 2025 - ATP French Open
Oct 25, 2025 - ATP French Open
Oct 22, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 17, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 15, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 13, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Lorenzo Sonego against Sebastian Korda : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jan 9, 2024 - Adelaide International
Sep 23, 2022 - Moselle Open
Sep 30, 2021 - San Diego, USA, Qualifying
May 26, 2021 - Parma, Italy, Qualifying
Lorenzo Sonego - Sebastian Korda Key Points
- Lorenzo Sonego reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stockholm Open.
- Lorenzo Sonego is 3-4 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Sebastian Korda reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stockholm Open.
- Sebastian Korda has a 64.2 percent win rate in indoor matches.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda Prediction
Fearless Forecast: I have Korda grinding out a three-set win over Sonego in this matchup. Sonego is a difficult first-round opponent because he’s a very skillful player who can raise his level of play once he gets into his flow. However, Korda will walk into their sixth career clash with some momentum following his two victories in the qualifying stages. Korda is 7-12 against the ATP top-50 this year, whereas Sonego is 3-21.
Our betting prediction for Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Sebastian Korda will win
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
