La Liga Picks & Predictions

Find our free La Liga prediction on the overall standings, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches in the Spanish first division (2025-2026). Plenty of information for your sports betting!

La Liga Overview and Picks 

Spain's premier league, La Liga, is very popular in the US. And so, of course, are predictions about the competition. La Liga is considered one of the 5 major leagues, along with the Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1. For weeks on end throughout the tournament, fans have the opportunity to bet on every match involving Spain's top 20 clubs! The battle for the title, the battle for European places and the battle to stay in La Liga: there's suspense on every level!

From the first match in August 2025, to the last matchday (scheduled for May 2026), our free expert predictions will enable you to make the best possible bets on the Spanish championship. You can already find our long-term predictions below, along with statistics and tips on how to make the best La Liga bets. Prepare your Liga predictions with our soccer picks!

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Spanish Title Prediction: Who will win La Liga 2025-2026?

Not just the league overall, but every matchday and every single La Liga game turned out to be tightly contested during the 2024–25 season. From the top of the table to the relegation battle, the fight among Spanish clubs remained intense right to the very end.

Fans witnessed some epic matchups in Spain’s iconic and historic stadiums: Santiago Bernabéu, Cívitas Metropolitano, San Mamés, Mestalla, and Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Barcelona didn’t play at their usual home, the Camp Nou, which was closed for renovations. Throughout the season, some of Spain’s biggest clubs battled for the league title, spots in European competitions (Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League), and the chance to stay in the top flight.

When it comes to the La Liga title, Real Madrid are the sportsbooks' favorites to be crowned champions before the season kicks off. With a huge squad and the arrival of Xabi Alonso to manage all these stars, we expect much better from them than last year. Atlético Madrid, for its part, is likely to struggle to compete with its archrival...

But Hansi Flick's Barça is our favorite! After an exceptional season last year, crowned with a domestic treble, the Catalan club is keen to continue its momentum and has managed to retain its key players. We see Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, and their teammates finishing at the top of the league and retaining the title they won last year. Our prediction for the 2025-2026 La Liga winner: FC Barcelona, champions of Spain!

La Liga Winner Futures

• Real Madrid -110
• Barcelona +100
• Atletico Madrid +850
• Villarreal +7500
• Athletic Bilbao +7500
• Betis +9500
• Real Sociedad +13000
• Girona +35000
• Celta Vigo +35000
• Valencia +35000
• Sevilla +35000
• Getafe +80000
• Espanyol +80000
• Osasuna +80000
• Alaves +80000
• Mallorca +80000
• Levante +100000
• Rayo Vallecano +100000
• Elche +100000
• Oviedo +100000

Odds provided by FanDuel.

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La Liga Top 4 Prediction: Which teams will qualify for the Champions League?

Betting on La Liga isn't just about betting on the future champion! You also have the opportunity to bet on the clubs that will finish in a European spot and take part in our Champions League predictions for next season. So remember that, in addition to the future Spanish champion, the teams that finish in 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place in La Liga will qualify for the 2026-2027 Champions League.

Just behind FC Barcelona, which we expect to be Spanish champions as announced in our prediction, Real Madrid's Merengue should obviously also occupy a place in the top 4, as should Atlético Madrid's Colchoneros, who have not missed the boat for many years now and have established themselves as leaders in the championship. Just behind them, we believe that Basque club Athletic Bilbao could secure the last spot. The club is performing well and already finished fourth last year.

Our top 4 La Liga prediction: FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid, and Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League!

La Liga Prediction - Odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 4

• Real Madrid -10000
• Barcelona -20000
• Atletico Madrid -650
• Athletic Bilbao +175
• Villarreal +220
• Betis +340
• Real Sociedad +700
• Celta Vigo +1000
• Valencia +2000
• Girona +2000
• Sevilla +2600
• Osasuna +2600
• Mallorca +3100
• Getafe +3100
• Alaves +4000
• Rayo Vallecano +4900
• Espanyol +6000
• Elche +8500
• Oviedo +8500
• Levante +8500

Odds provided by FanDuel.

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Europa League Qualification Prediction: Which La Liga club will qualify?

In Spain, two places qualify for the UEFA Europa League. In addition to the Spanish Cup winner, the club finishing fifth in La Liga will qualify for the Europa League for the 2026-2027 season. The clubs mentioned above, Real Sociedad and Bilbao, are likely to join Betis, Girona, Valencia and Villarreal in the fight.

It is obviously difficult to make any definite predictions at this stage, but it could well be that one of these teams will finish in the top five of La Liga, and we are leaning towards Isco's team, which finished sixth last year and has a very interesting squad. Our Europa League prediction: Betis!

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Conference League Qualification Prediction: Which La Liga club will qualify?

The club finishing 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the cup) in La Liga this season will have the opportunity to take part in the next UEFA Conference League! Recently categorized as Europe's third cup. Officially, the sixth-placed club in the Spanish league will qualify for this competition. But if it's a club qualified for the Champions League via the league that wins the King's Cup, then 6th or 7th place could qualify for the UEFA Conference League.

We saw this again last year with FC Barcelona (Cup winners and Champions League qualifiers via the league) who lost their place to Rayo Vallecano.

In our opinion, the clubs to watch for this sixth place are the same as those mentioned above for the Europa League prediction, and this time we give Villarreal the edge. The Yellow Submarine has been gaining consistency in recent years and even finished fifth last year, allowing them to play in the Champions League this season. Our Conference League prediction: Villarreal!

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Relegation Predictions: Which La Liga club will be relegated?

Much further down the table, a very intense battle awaits many clubs to avoid a descent into La Liga 2. Naturally, we're hoping for as much suspense as last year, when it came down to the final day. As a reminder, clubs finishing 18th, 19th and 20th at the end of the season will unfortunately be relegated to the second division for the following season.

And, once again, several Spanish football clubs will obviously be affected. The three promoted teams to start with (Real Oviedo, Elche, and Levante), who are the bookmakers' favorites to be relegated, not to mention the teams that struggled to stay up last season. We are thinking, for example, of Alavés, Getafe, and Espanyol, who finished the season just two points ahead of the first relegated team. Our La Liga relegation prediction: Real Oviedo, Elche, and Espanyol will be relegated!

Liga Prediction - Relegation Odds

• Oviedo -130
• Elche -105
• Levante +140
• Espanyol +210
• Alaves +300
• Osasuna +390
• Rayo Vallecano +390
• Girona +450
• Getafe +450
• Mallorca +500
• Sevilla +550
• Valencia +800
• Celta Vigo +1600
• Real Sociedad +2400
• Betis +4500
• Villarreal +7500
• Athletic Bilbao +7500
• Real Madrid +10000
• Atletico Madrid +10000
• Barcelona +10000

Odds from FanDuel

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Golden Boot in La Liga 2025-2026: Which player will score the most goals?

In addition to team objectives such as standings or betting on the Spanish Cup, there is also an individual title that has a rather special significance in La Liga: that of the Pichichi, the season's top scorer. In 2025-2026, which player will finish top scorer in the Spanish league? Here's a list of the attacking players to watch out for in this new edition of La Liga:

• Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)
• Robert Lewandowski (FC Barcelone)
• Julián Álvarez (Atlético de Madrid)
• Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)
• Alexander Sørloth (Atlético Madrid)

Crowned top scorer in La Liga last year with 31 goals (which also earned him the Golden Boot), Kylian Mbappé had a successful first season at Real Madrid on a personal level. In his second year, we can't see the Pichichi title slipping away from him! We believe he will win it for a second time.

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Sports Betting Beginners - How does the Spanish Soccer League work?

As you may have gathered, La Liga is Spain's first division soccer league. It brings together and pits Spain's top 20 clubs against each other in a round-robin system. It's quite simple to understand: all the clubs meet once, then it's repeated in the second half of the season with the return matches. Each team therefore meets an opponent twice (once at home and once away), giving us a total of 38 matchdays, with a fixture list of 380 matches in all.

At the final whistle of the championship, a few places have an impact on the future of the clubs:

• The club finishing first is the champion of Spain and qualifies for the Champions League.
• The teams ranked 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League.
• The club ranked 5th qualifies for the Europa League (and potentially the 6th, depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
• The team ranked 6th qualifies for the Europa Conference League (or 7th depending on who wins the Spanish Cup).
• Clubs ranked 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to Liga 2.

So there's a lot at stake in this Spanish soccer championship, which goes a long way towards explaining why betting on La Liga matches is one of the most popular activities carried out every weekend by betting soccer fans in the US.

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How to make good predictions on La Liga matches?

Making a winning prediction on La Liga requires, above all, a thorough knowledge of the league, but also "good practice" on the part of the punter. As a specialist in the Spanish league for many years, SportyTrader offers you its main and best tips for good predictions:

• Consult the form of the Liga teams
• Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs
• Monitor the list of absentees in La Liga
• Take into account each team's history in the Spanish league
• Compare the odds of each EA Sports FC Liga bet.

According to our betting experts, these are some of the most important tips if you want to bet on La Liga matches. You can find each of them in detail just below this paragraph!

Consult the form of La Liga teams

To establish a reliable prediction on the Spanish soccer championship, there are a few reflexes to catch quickly. The first is to check the form of the teams you're betting on. Indeed, if you want to bet on Betis against Mallorca, but Sevilla hasn't won in 9 games while their opponents haven't lost in 6, you'll probably have to reconsider your initial bet. The form of the teams plays a major role in your bets, so don't overlook it.

We feel it's important to remember that simply analyzing the latest scores is not enough to make safer bets. It's far more interesting for you and your bets to analyze the content offered by a team in the match, which may have lost two games in a row despite clear domination and an impressive lack of luck.

If you look at the results, you might think they're out of form, when in fact they may just have been unlucky. The major statistics (possession, Expected Goals, goalposts, number of shots taken, attempted and on target, fouls committed and provoked, etc.) are therefore of great importance.

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Take into account the calendar of Spanish clubs

Secondly, as soccer fans know only too well, teams' schedules are getting heavier and heavier, with more and more matches to play. It is therefore very important to consult the team calendar before betting on a La Liga match. Take, for example, a Madrid derby match between Real Madrid and Getafe.

Let's imagine that Madrid has just played Barça and Bayern in the Champions League, and will then face Getafe, before returning to the European Cup to face AC Milan, before facing Atlético Madrid and Sevilla in La Liga. In this busy schedule, the match against Getafe could obviously be seen as an "easy game". However, with the team's tiredness, the turnover probably proposed by the coach, and the senior players with their heads set on future big games, this match looks like a trap on paper for Real.

Beware, then, as an overloaded fixture list will explain some of the poor results. That's why we advise you to wait for the official line-up before placing a bet on a La Liga match or any other competition. It could well save you losses more than once...

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Monitor the list of absentees in La Liga

Continuing from the previous point, the list of players absent for a single match or a longer period is going to be important. And all the more so depending on the players in question, but above all on the clubs affected.

There are many reasons for absence (injury, suspension, family reasons, exclusion from the squad, other extra-sporting problems, etc.), and this can become significant if it involves a major player or a squad that is reduced (in talent and quantity).

Is the club's best striker out? Central defender suspended? Is the first-choice goalkeeper not getting on with the coach and not in the squad announced at the press conference? It's very important to check the potential absences in each group and, of course, don't place large bets on a La Liga prediction if you notice any major absences...

Checking the announced groups and compositions could help you avoid unpleasant surprises!

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Take into account each team's history in the Spanish league

There's also a point that many bettors underestimate, and our experts believe it's still very important and should be highlighted. For this tip, there will be several things to take into account: the rivalry between each club, pre-match statements or a tense final face-off.

As you can see, there are several factors, some more important than others, which will impact the environment of a match and the players' mental state.

For example, let's imagine that FC Barcelona hasn't won at Betis's Benito Villamarín Stadium in Seville for 15 years. If you were betting on a Barça victory, a close analysis and this statistic could well change your mind.

Indeed, some teams, in some stadiums, simply can't manage to break through that psychological barrier to take all 3 points. So keep this in mind when betting on soccer and La Liga!

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Compare the odds of each EA Sports FC Liga bet

To conclude with our last piece of advice, always analyze the odds offered by sportsbooks before placing any bet! As you probably already know, each operator defines its own odds before proposing them to you. This means that odds may be higher on one site than another, and you'll get more money for the same stake in the event of a winning bet.

Let's imagine you want to bet on Osasuna beating Las Palmas. You'll notice that DraftKing’s odds are -105, while BetMGM’s are only -112... For the same stake (say $100), there's a $6 difference in winnings ($95 net at DraftKings and $89 at BetMGM)!

In the long term, this will have a major impact on your income from online sports betting sites. We therefore strongly advise you to register with as many sportsbooks as possible, so that you never miss out on the best odds available on the market. What's more, you'll be able to take advantage of all the welcome bonuses on offer when you place your first bet!

Please bear in mind that, when making their soccer predictions for Sportytrader, all our experts take into account these 5 points we've just described, but also other aspects specific to each La Liga match.

So, when you come to consult our predictions for La Liga matches, you'll have access to a highly reliable set of data for each game. So before you place any bets on the Spanish league, make a habit of checking our predictions!

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What not to do when making La Liga predictions?

To get the most out of your Spanish La Liga predictions, there are a few things you should definitely avoid doing. Here are the ones we consider to be the most important, and which you should avoid at all costs before betting on a Spanish league match: 

• Forgetting to analyze the La Liga match you want to bet on
• Constantly betting on your favorite team
• Don't compare odds between sportsbooks
• Betting on a La Liga match without looking at the stakes (especially at the end of the season)
• Be desperate to make up for one or more lost bets
• Only play at big odds to try to win as much as possible
• Too much live betting

At present, a good number of bettors, whether beginners or more experienced, are still too regularly fooled. They lose out on bets and stakes because they decide (or not) to stick with one or more of these bad habits. Don't make this mistake, and remember that, if you want to bet on the 2025/2026 La Liga season, you'll have to avoid it all!

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Liga Predictions: Statistics you need to know

In addition to all the tips we've just given you, there's one more thing to bear in mind when it comes to making the most of your La Liga bets. Knowing the most important statistics of the Spanish league is key. We've listed below the most important ones we think you should bear in mind when making your La Liga predictions. Please note that these figures were taken from the last edition, in 2024-2025:

• Home wins: 44%
• Draws: 26%
• Away wins: 30%
• Average goals: 2.62 goals per game
• +0.5 goals: 94%
• -0.5 goals: 6%
• +1.5 goals: 72%
• -1.5 goals: 28%
• +2.5 goals: 49%
• -2.5 goals: 51%
• +3.5 goals: 24%
• -3.5 goals: 76%
• +4.5 goals: 13%
• -4.5 goals: 84%7
• Quarter of the match with the most goals: 76-90’ (24%)
• Percentage of goals scored in the first half: 44%
• Percentage of goals scored in the second half: 56%
• Average goals scored by the home team: 1.45
• Average goals scored by the away team: 1.17
• “Both teams to score: yes” probability: 54%
• Average shots per match: 22.68 shots
• Victory by 2 or more goals (handicap): 30% of matchups
• Exact score 0-0: 5.5% of matches
• Exact score 1-1: 15% of matches
• Most frequent scoreline: 1-0 or 0-1 (22.1% of games)

For your La Liga bets, a few bets seem worth trying based on last season's statistics. First, we can see that “over 1.5 goals” occurs in more than 7 out of 10 games, and could be interesting to combine with a result. On the other hand, the other Overs do not occur as regularly, and an “Under 3.5” is also worth trying, as is the “both teams to score” bet.

Next, a victory by a margin of 2 goals or more is not to be favored, even though the odds offered by bookmakers are often very attractive. This bet only comes in 3 out of 10 games. On the other hand, we recommend trying a few exact scores throughout the season, with 1-0 coming in almost a quarter of games last year. 1-1 came in 15% of the time! Nothing is guaranteed with this type of bet, but the odds will be very attractive!

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In a Nutshell: How to make the right La Liga predictions?

To make the best (and most reliable) soccer predictions during the La Liga season, several things need to be done, such as analyzing each match. Of course, you'll also need to take into account everything we've already mentioned on this La Liga prediction page, such as getting to know the general workings of the league and keeping the most important statistics in mind.

If you think it's going to take you too much time on a day-to-day basis (it's quite a lot of work, after all) for all the La Liga matches, please note that all our predictions proposed by league specialists will be available for each match at the top of this page. And these betting tips are 100% free and available at all times! Our soccer predictions are here to help you place your bets on Spanish league soccer matches: La Liga.

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Our Current La Liga Picks (Soccer)

La Liga Soccer: Best Betting Odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.