ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Jannik Sinner of Italy targets his first finals appearance in an ATP 1000 clay-court tournament on Friday against Tommy Paul of the United States at the 2025 Italian Open.
Sinner delivered a near flawless performance on Thursday, as he obliterated reigning Madrid Open champion and two-time French Open runner-up Casper Ruud 6-0, 6-1. The world’s No.1 men’s singles player played high-level tennis from start to finish, punishing Ruud with 22 winners and 6 breakpoints off the back of 290 return rating. With the overwhelming result, the Italian moved one win away to reaching another final – his seventh consecutive final and second this year.
Paul, on the other hand, looks to pull off a shocker on Friday against arguably the best men’s singles player post Big 3 era. Paul secured his second consecutive trip to the semifinal round of the Italian Open after sweeping Hubert Hurkacz of Poland 7-6(4) 6-3. Paul won 39 points off his first serves and added 22 points off his second, on top of 3 breakpoints, to beat Hurkacz in the quarterfinal round of the same tournament for the second straight year.
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Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Form
Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
May 15, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Jan 26, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 24, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 15, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 2, 2024 - ATP US Open
Aug 12, 2023 - Toronto, Canada
Jun 22, 2022 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Jannik Sinner defeated Casper Ruud 6-0, 6-1 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Jannik Sinner is 3-1 head-to-head against Tommy Paul
- Tommy Paul defeated Hubert Hurkacz 7-6 (4), 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Tommy Paul is a two-time Italian Open semifinalist.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jannik Sinner destroys Tommy Paul to reach the final of the 2025 Italian Open
Reason to bet on Jannik Sinner: Sinner showed the tennis world what they have been missing for the past three months. Sinner is back and he looks better than ever, especially on the red dirt. The Italian’s latest win is no ordinary feat because he just obliterated the 2025 Madrid Open champion 6-0, 6-1. Sinner was ruthless and efficient at the same time, posting a 318 serve rating and a 290 return rating. On top of his 26 winners, Sinner only recorded 10 unforced errors in the entire match.
Reasons NOT to bet on Tommy Paul: Paul should be happy with another semifinal stint in Rome because his run will inevitably end at the hands of Sinners on Friday. Again, Paul is 1-3 against Sinner in their series and his only win came in a grass-court tournament in the second round of the 2022 Eastbourne International 6-3 3-6 6-3. Although he has always given Sinner a hard time in all four meetings, Paul will struggle to match Sinner’s level of play this time around following the Italian’s ruthless win over Ruud.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul: Jannik Sinner will cover 6.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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