Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner
7/11/25 11:55
ATP 6 Serbia
Novak Djokovic

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic wins the match

+176
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 by Tyler Doty | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

This Friday's Wimbledon semi-final clash between world number 1 Jannik Sinner and London's seven-time winner Novak Djokovic is a highly anticipated affair.

One month after his defeat in the final of the French Open, Jannik Sinner was eagerly awaited for this 2025 edition of Wimbledon. Although the Italian has been dominating the ATP circuit for several months now, his level of play on grass was still in question compared to the other top players. With just one victory to his name in the build-up to the tournament, the world number 1 arrived in the London suburbs without any real reference points. But thanks to his talent and the first few rounds, the Italian was able to slowly build his confidence as the days went by.

Jannik Sinner had no trouble whatsoever until the 2nd round, putting himself in steamroller mode. He gave up just over 5 games on average in the first 3 rounds against Italy's Luca Nardi, Australia's Aleksandar Vukic and Spain's Pedro Martinez, with an impressive level of play. However, the Italian almost bit the dust in the Round of 16 against Grigor Dimitrov. Beaten badly by the Bulgarian in the first two sets (lost), the world number 1 took advantage of his opponent's injury, forcing him to throw in the towel. A huge wake-up call for the Italian, who saw circumstances turn in his favor with a second chance in this tournament. This opportunity was seized in the quarter-final against Ben Shelton, with a 3-set victory in which the Italian showed himself to be the most solid player in the closing stages. Jannik Sinner will need to show this kind of solidity this Friday in the semi-final if he is to reach the final for the first time in his Wimbledon career.

At the age of 38, Novak Djokovic sees Wimbledon 2025 as his last chance to win a Grand Slam title. The London lawn has been the scene of some great performances by the Serb, with 7 trophies won, one less than the legend Roger Federer. A success on Sunday would put the Balkan tennis player on a level playing field, like a last dance for the man who dominated world tennis for so many years.

Ranked 6th in the world at the start of the tournament, Novak Djokovic has been stable from the very beginning of the fortnight, expending no unnecessary energy. After a masterful first 3 rounds against France's Alexandre Muller, Great Britain's Daniel Evans and his compatriot Miomir Kecmanovic, the Serb then had to work hard to dominate Australia's Alex de Minaur and Italy's Flavio Cobolli in the last 8 and 1/4-finals, defeated in 4 sets. The record holder of the most Grand Slam victories (24) has gradually come into his own, raising his level of play and will be ready for Friday's showdown with the world number 1.

Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Form

Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches

Jannik Sinner Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Ben Shelton

Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
abort
Grigor Dimitrov

Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Pedro Martinez

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Aleksandar Vukic

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Luca Nardi

Jun 19, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik
Novak Djokovic Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 9, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Flavio Cobolli
1 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jul 7, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
1 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jul 5, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Miomir Kecmanovic
0 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Daniel Evans
0 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexandre Muller
1 :  3
Novak Djokovic

Jun 6, 2025 - ATP French Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Jannik Sinner against Novak Djokovic : Head to Head (H2H)

Jannik Sinner

83 %

Novak Djokovic

17 %

Jun 6, 2025 - ATP French Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Oct 17, 2024 - Six King Slam

Novak Djokovic
1 :  2
Jannik Sinner

Oct 13, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Jan 25, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Novak Djokovic
1 :  3
Jannik Sinner

Nov 25, 2023 - Davis Cup

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Novak Djokovic

Nov 19, 2023 - ATP Finals

Jannik Sinner
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic
Compare Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic with our comparison tool.

Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic Key Points

  1. Jannik Sinner is number 1 in the world.
  2. The Italian dominated B.Shelton in the quarter-finals (7-6, 6-4, 6-4).
  3. Novak Djokovic is ranked 6th on the ATP rankings.
  4. The Serb eliminated F.Cobolli in the previous round (6-7, 6-2, 7-5, 6-4).
  5. Jannik Sinner has won the last 5 meetings with Novak Djokovic, but lost the 2 grass-court matches at Wimbledon in 2022 and 2023.

Our Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Novak Djokovic is at home in London, and beating him remains a difficult performance on English grass. The Serb may not have been as good as Jannik Sinner for two years now, but this surface gives him the best chance of beating him. The world number 1 has shown some weaknesses in his last two matches, and if the Italian doesn't raise his game, then Novak Djokovic could return to the final.

Our prediction Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic: victory for Novak Djokovic!

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic wins the match

+176
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Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 Sets

Odds -215
It's hard not to imagine a hotly contested encounter between two of the best players on the planet. Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner are set to go head-to-head in this semi-final and offer us a great battle.
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Djokovic to score the most aces.

Odds -200
Since the start of the tournament, Novak Djokovic has hit 69 aces, 26 more than Jannik Sinner. With his spin, the Serb finds difficult angles to return on grass, which could be one of the decisive areas of play in this semi-final.
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Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Picks