Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

Prediction published on 5/18/25, 7:48 AM  by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks

Jannik Sinner of Italy will go head-to-head with Carlos Alcaraz of Spain in a dream final in the men’s singles tournament at the 2025 Italian Open on Sunday.

Sinner, the 2025 Australian Open champion, advanced to his second final stint this year after rallying from a set down to topple Tommy Paul of the United States 1-6 6-0 6-3. After obliterating Madrid Open champion Casper Ruud 6-0, 6-1 in the quarterfinal, Sinner did not anticipate a fiery start from Paul, dropping a set for the first time in the tournament. Facing a threat for the first time, the Italian recalibrated and launched a more aggressive offense afterwards, leaving Paul discombobulated the rest of the way. Sinner finished the match with 32 first-serve points and 5 breakpoint conversions to seal his entry into the final.

For the second time this clay-court season, Alcaraz found a way to get past Lorenzo Musetti of Italy 6-3 7-6(4). Alcaraz is through to his first Rome Masters final following another masterful performance against the man who pushed him to a third set in the championship match at the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters. Unlike their last encounter, Alcaraz was sharper and stronger this time around, punishing the Italian with 32 first-serve points and 5 breakpoints.