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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jannik Sinner of Italy is listed as the heavy underdog at -900 ahead of his titanic showdown with the world’s No.3 Alexander Zverev of Germany in the championship match of the 2025 Erste Bank Open in Vienna, Austria.
Current Form:
Sinner pushed his winning streak to seven matches following another impeccable win over Alex de Minaur 6-3, 6-4. The Italian put on a crisper and stronger performance in his second match with De Minaur in a month. He dismantled the Aussie by winning 74 percent of his first serves to hold 8 of 10 service games and converting four breakpoint chances. Sinner is now 4-0 in indoor matches in 2025, bumping up his career win rate in indoor conditions to 80 percent.
Zverev also showed his class against Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 7-5 to advance into the championship match in Vienna. The German won all 11 service games and broke Musetti twice to seal his entry into his fourth final this year. Zverev is 3-2 in indoor matches in 2025 and has a 66.7 percent win rate in indoor conditions.
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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Form
Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 18, 2025 - Six King Slam
Oct 16, 2025 - Six King Slam
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 23, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 21, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 15, 2025 - Six King Slam
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Jannik Sinner against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jan 26, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Aug 18, 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Sep 4, 2023 - ATP US Open
Apr 15, 2022 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Sep 6, 2021 - ATP US Open
Oct 24, 2020 - Cologne II, Germany, Qualifying
Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Alexander Zverev defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 7-5 in the semifinal of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
- Alexander Zverev has a 66.7 percent win rate in indoor matches.
- Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3, 6-4 in the semifinal of the 2025 Erste Bank Open.
- Jannik Sinner has an 80 percent win rate in indoor matches.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jannik Sinner is 3-4 head-to-head against Alexander Zverev, but he won their last two hard-court encounters at the 2024 Cincinnati Open semifinals 7-6, 5-7, 7-6 and the 2025 Australian Open final 6-3, 7-6, 6-3. Sinner carries an 80 percent win rate in indoor matches, which is a testament to his ever-evolving game. While Zverev will absolutely try his best to pull off an upset against the former world’s No.1, Sinner is clearly on another tier skills-wise.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Jannik Sinner -4.5 Games
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