Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP London - Queen's

Prediction published on 11/15/25, 4:48 AM  by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Jannik Sinner of Italy will lock horns with Alex De Minaur of Australia for a place in the championship match of the 2025 ATP Tour Finals on Saturday.

As expected, Sinner is the heavy favorite coming into the match at -1220, but the resurging De Minaur is also gaining traction as an intriguing pick at +135 ($135 profit for every $100 bet) to cover +4.5 games.

Current Form:

Sinner breezed through the group stages of the ATP Tour Finals to advance into the semifinal round without dropping a single set. Sinner has now won 16 sets in a row after sweeping Ben Shelton 6-3, 7-6 on Friday. The Italian bombarded Shelton with 11 aces and captured 81 percent of his first serves to win all 10 of his service games. Sinner also converted two breakpoint chances and showed poise under duress in the second set tiebreaker to seal his entry into the final four.

De Minaur earned the improbable last spot in the semifinal round of the 2025 ATP Tour Finals after besting Taylor Fritz in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3. The Australian entered his final group play assignment needing to sweep Fritz to keep his campaign alive in Turin. With his forehand shots on fire, De Minaur won 81 percent of his first serves to win 8 of 9 service games. De Minaur also broke twice, including the breakpoint conversion that allowed him to build a 3-0 lead in the second set. De Minaur finished in a triple-way tie with Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz, who posted identical 2-1 records. The Aussie got the final semifinal spot because he won more games than the two players.