Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament
Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament
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by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks
Roughly 48 hours after suffering the most painful basketball defeat in their nations’ history, Germany and Serbia lock horns in the bronze medal match of men’s 5x5 basketball at Accor Arena. Germany’s goal of holding the World and Olympic champion simultaneously dashed away on Friday as they bowed out from the gold medal contention following a 73-69 loss to the host country, France. Dennis Schroder scored a team-high 18 points and Franz Wagner 8 points and 11 rebounds for Germany, who struggled to knock down their shots late in the match. It’s the first loss for Germany in this Olympic tournament but that was enough for them to be relegated to the bronze medal match with Serbia, who are also licking their wound after almost upsetting Team USA 91-95. Serbia stormed to a huge lead in the first half and had a sizeable lead entering the fourth quarter until Team USA dropped 32 points in the payoff period to pull off arguably the most scintillating comeback win in their program’s history.
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Germany vs Serbia Form
Germany and Serbia Latest Matches
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Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
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Aug 8, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Germany against Serbia : Head to Head (H2H)
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Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Germany - Serbia: Form Analysis
Germany thrives in a slow-paced offense that generates 82.6 points on 70 ball possessions per 40 minutes. Germany is averaging 31.4 rebounds and 19.4 assists per game while holding their opponents in this Olympics under 80 points. Serbia emerges as the second-best offensive team in the tournament behind Team USA. Averaging 94.6 points per game, Serbia boasts a true shooting of 60.7 percent and 82.8 ball possessions per 40 minutes.
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Germany & Serbia Squad Analysis
Dennis Schroder is Germany’s chief playmaker who can score in bunches. He averages 18.0 points and 7.8 rebounds in five games in this Olympics. Franz Wagner leads the team in scoring at 18.6 points per game, while Daniel Theis stands out in the rebounding department at 8.0 rebounds per game. Team Serbia is led by their two NBA stars, Bogdan Bogdanovic and Nikola Jokic. Nikola Jokic averages 18.8 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game. Bogdanovic is the other main gunner for Serbia, with 18.8 points per contest.
Germany - Serbia Key Points
- Germany and Serbia were the finalists at last year’s FIBA World Cup.
- Germany lost to France 69-73, while Serbia lost to the USA 95-91 in the semifinals.
- Germany averages 82.6 ppg, while Serbia averages 94.6 ppg.
- Nikola Jokic scores 17 points, 5 rebounds and 11 assists in the loss to Serbia.
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Our Germany vs Serbia Prediction
Germany and Serbia met in last year’s FIBA World Cup in which the former won 83-77. In that game, Serbia didn’t have Nikola Jokic who opted out of the tournament to take some rest after winning the 2023 NBA championship. For me, Jokic will play a big difference in this match since he has been a focal point of Serbia’s offense throughout the tournament. I expect the three-time NBA MVP to impose his will inside, helping Serbia secure the bronze. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Bet on Serbia to win, -134, at FanDuel.
Germany vs Serbia - Other Interesting Picks
Total UNDER 170.5 Points
While Serbia boasts the second-best offensive in the competition, I believe the battle for bronze will be played at a much slower tempo. Germany has been successful in keeping every opponent under 80 points, and they will do the same against Serbia. As good as Germany is defensively, the lack of any shot creator except Schroder and Wagner has been revealed as their main weakness against France—our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Under 170.5 points, -105, at BetMGM.
Nikola Jokic UNDER 40.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists Player Combo
Nikola Jokic averages 18.8 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game in the tournament. Against the USA, Jokic was held to 17 points, five rebounds, and 11 assists. There’s no questioning ability to impact the game in different ways. He’s a walking 7-foot triple-double machine, after all. However, asking him to exceed 40.5 from combined points, rebounds, and assists is just too much in a highly physical, slow-paced 40-minute of international basketball. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Serbia: Nikola Jokic UNDER 40.5 on points + rebounds + assists combo, -130, at DraftKings.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
