Senegal vs Iraq Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Senegal
6/26/26 15:00
Iraq

Prediction:

 

Senegal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals

-250
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

On Friday afternoon, in Toronto, two of those teams yet to grab any points will clash. There’s potentially still one knockout spot there for the taking in this group, but if either Senegal or Iraq want to take it, they’ll need to win this game and likely win it well. 

Despite having what most people would describe as a strong squad, the Lions of Teranga have so far failed to roar at the World Cup, losing to both France and Norway. The same can be said for the Iraqis, who also enter this last game without a win or a tie to their name. 

The Senegal players will likely have been disappointed to leave the field empty handed last time out, but all is not yet lost. Three points will be enough for some teams, and this is a huge opportunity for the Africans to pick up an all-important win. In the betting, ‘Senegal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’ appeals most.

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Senegal vs Iraq Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Senegal
0 2 0 0 2 -3
4 Iraq
0 2 0 0 2 -6

Senegal and Iraq Latest Matches

Senegal
Senegal Latest matches
W W L D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

Mar 28, 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru

Jan 18, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco

Jan 14, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Egypt

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  2
Senegal

Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal
Iraq
Iraq Latest matches
W W D L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
1 :  4
Norway

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Iraq
0 :  2
Venezuela

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Spain
1 :  1
Iraq

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Andorra
0 :  1
Iraq

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bolivia
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
1 :  4
Norway

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Iraq
0 :  2
Venezuela

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bolivia

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bahrain

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Iraq
1 :  0
Indonesia
W L L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Spain
1 :  1
Iraq

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Andorra
0 :  1
Iraq

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
1 :  0
Iraq

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Senegal - Iraq: Form Analysis

World Cup Prediction: Senegal vs Iraq

Could we criticize the way the Senegalese went about their work against the French during the first round of group games? Absolutely not. In the first half, they were hard to break down, plus they offered a threat on the counter, so much so that they should’ve been ahead at the break. In the end, they came off second best thanks to the individual quality of both Michael Olise and Kylian Mbappe. Against Norway, they performed very well offensively, and were again a little unlucky. 

Have they got a better chance of getting a positive result here? Only slightly.

The Iraqis, on the other hand, haven’t exactly been the victims of misfortune, and in truth, based on performance levels and overall quality, they’ve picked up the results that they’ve deserved. They were bettered in all areas by the Norwegians, who ran riot, while the French beat them by three goals to zero without needing to push too hard. Have they got a better chance of getting a positive result here? Only slightly.

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Iraq v Senegal last Lineups

Senegal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
E. Mendy
15
K. Diatta
3
K. Koulibaly
19
M. Niakhate
25
E. Diouf
26
P. Gueye
5
I. Gueye
8
L. Camara
18
I. Sarr
11
N. Jackson
10
S. Mane
18
A. Hussein
11
A. Qasem
14
Z. Iqbal
16
A. Alammari
24
Z. Ismael
8
I. Bayesh
23
M. Doski
5
A. Hashim
4
Z. Tahseen
3
H. Ali
22
A. Basil

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

Iraq

Substitutes

Senegal
Senegal
Goalkeeper

M. Diaw

Y. Diouf

Defender

A. Mendy

A. Seck

I. Jakobs

M. Sarr

Midfielder

H. Diarra

B. Ndiaye

P. Ciss

P. Sarr

Forward

I. Mbaye

C. Ndiaye

B. Dieng

I. Ndiaye

A. Diao

Iraq
Iraq
Goalkeeper

F. Talib

J. Hassan

Defender

M. Saadoon

M. Younus

R. Sulaka

F. Putros

A. Maknazi

Midfielder

Y. Amyn

K. Yakob

A. Sher

Forward

A. Alhamadi

Ali Jasim

M. Ali

M. Farji

A. Yousif

Missing players

Senegal
Senegal
Goalkeeper

E. Mendy

Iraq
Iraq

Senegal & Iraq Squad Analysis

There really was nothing wrong with the way that Pape Thiaw’s men performed against Norway, so we should not expect the Senegal boss to make many changes here. His starting XI from the last game should be more than strong enough to pick up all three points. Fresh from his brace against the Norwegians, Ismaila Sarr will once again play a leading role for the Lions of Teranga. 

Fresh from his brace against the Norwegians, Ismaila Sarr will once again play a leading role for the Lions of Teranga. 

Will Iraq boss Graham Arnold change much ahead of this game? It doesn’t seem likely, after all, it’s not as if the Aussie has a great deal of squad depth to tap into, and it’s fair to say that he played what is pretty much his strongest team last time out. One change could see Luton striker Al Hamadi return to the starting XI. He had a couple of chances off the bench last time out, delivering a lively effort and is about as likely as anyone to score for the Lions of Mesopotamia.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Senegal
CD Huachipato Iraq
Top Goalscorer
Senegal I. Sarr (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iraq A. Hussein (1 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal I. Ndiaye (1 Assists)
Senegal S. Mane (1 Assists)
Senegal N. Jackson (1 Assists)
Best assists
Iraq A. Alammari (1 Assists)

Senegal - Iraq Key Points

  1. Senegal scored two goals against a much better team than Iraq last time out.
  2. The Iraqis have conceded multiple goals in each of their two games at this World Cup.
  3. At the tournament so far, the Iraqis have conceded an average of 3.50 goals per game.
  4. The Iraqis won't be feeling defensively confident having conceded three goals last time out.
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Our Senegal vs Iraq Prediction

This may be a match between two teams without any points, but there’s a big difference in quality here. The Senegales competed in each of their games against France and Norway, while the Iraqis did not. 

We know that this Senegal team has lots of offensive quality, and given that the Iraqis have struggled massively to keep it tight at the back, it’s worth betting on the Lions of Teranga to get the job done and score at least two goals in the process. 

Our Senegal vs Iraq Pick: Senegal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Senegal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals

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$200 offered for betting!

Senegal vs Iraq - Other Interesting Picks

Senegal to Win

Odds -450
You won't be getting sizable returns for betting on a Senegal win, but if you're not bothered about that, or too bothered about sniffing out value for money and are rather just looking for something to bolster the odds of a parlay, then bet on the Senegal win, which looks very, very likely. The difference in quality between these two teams should be rather evident.
$200 offered for betting!

A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Senegal vs Iraq!

DraftKings WC Bonus

Looking to place a bet on Senegal vs Iraq? For this World Cup match and throughout the World Cup, DraftKings will treat you to an exclusive offer: $200 in bonus bets, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

$200 in bonus bets for Senegal vs Iraq!

Senegal vs Iraq match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between Senegal and Iraq is scheduled for 06/26/2026 at 3:00 pm ET, in Toronto.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Senegal vs Iraq Picks