Senegal vs Egypt Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Senegal
1/14/26 12:00
Egypt

Prediction:

 

Egypt to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+295
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 by Bradley Gibbs in AFCON Picks

We’ve reached the business end of the African Cup of Nations, with only four teams remaining. On Wednesday, it’s time for the semi finals, the first of which sees Senegal and Egypt clash at Stade Ibn Batouta in the city of Tanger. The Senegalese delivered a commanding performance against Mali in the quarter finals, winning like a team that is determined to go all the way at this tournament, keeping a clean sheet and creating more than enough chances to score more than the one goal that they did. 

There was no lack of determination shown by the Egyptians either, with the Pharaohs battling to the death against Ivory Coast, emerging victorious thanks ultimately to a second-half strike from the talismanic Mohamed Salah, who scored his 71st goal for Egypt and will now be looking for more as he bids to take his team to the final of this famous competition for the third time since 2017.

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Senegal vs Egypt Form

Senegal and Egypt Latest Matches

Senegal
Senegal Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo Republic
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 9, 2026 - AFCON

Mali
0 :  1
Senegal

Dec 30, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
0 :  3
Senegal

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
2 :  3
Senegal
Egypt
Egypt Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  1
Benin

Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON

Angola
0 :  0
Egypt

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
South Africa

Dec 22, 2025 - AFCON

Egypt
2 :  1
Zimbabwe

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Jan 5, 2026 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  1
Benin

Dec 26, 2025 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
South Africa

Dec 22, 2025 - AFCON

Egypt
2 :  1
Zimbabwe

Dec 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  1
Nigeria

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Egypt
0 :  3
Jordan
D W L D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 29, 2025 - AFCON

Angola
0 :  0
Egypt

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

United Arab Emirates
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 17, 2025 - International Friendlies

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

Nov 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Uzbekistan
2 :  0
Egypt

Oct 8, 2025 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  3
Egypt

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
0 :  0
Egypt

Senegal against Egypt : Head to Head (H2H)

Senegal

33 %

Draw

33 %

Egypt

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.67
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2022 - World Cup

Senegal
1 :  0
Egypt

Mar 25, 2022 - World Cup

Egypt
1 :  0
Senegal

Feb 6, 2022 - AFCON

Senegal
0 :  0
Egypt

Senegal - Egypt: Form Analysis

The Lions of Teranga didn’t come under too much pressure against Mali last time out, though that was mainly due to the fact that their opponents played for more than half of the contest with ten men following Yves Bissouma’s red card late in the first period. This will be much harder for a team that was far from clinical in front of goal. During the groups we saw Pape Thiaw’s men score plenty, but can they now do that on the biggest stage of all? 

During the groups we saw Pape Thiaw’s men score plenty, but can they now do that on the biggest stage of all? 

After taking a more low-scoring route during the groups, the Egyptians have stepped on the gas and really shown their goal-scoring credentials during the knockouts, first scoring three goals against Benin, before banging in three against Ivory Coast last time out. Against a Senegal team that isn’t likely to sit back too much, the Pharaohs should fancy themselves to do plenty of damage.

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Senegal against Egypt Lineups: Starting 11

Senegal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
E. Mendy
15
K. Diatta
3
K. Koulibaly
19
M. Niakhate
25
E. Diouf
7
H. Diarra
5
I. Gueye
26
P. Gueye
13
I. Ndiaye
11
N. Jackson
10
S. Mane
10
M. Salah
22
O. Marmoush
8
E. Ashour
14
H. Fathi
19
M. Attia
4
H. Abdelsalam
13
A. Aboul-Fatouh
5
R. Rabia
6
Y. Ibrahim
3
M. Hany
23
M. El Shenawy

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2

Egypt

Substitutes

Senegal
Senegal
Goalkeeper

M. Diaw

Y. Diouf

Defender

M. Sarr

K. Koulibaly 24'

A. Mendy

A. Seck

I. Jakobs

Midfielder

P. Ciss

P. Gueye 90'

L. Camara

H. Diarra 46'

P. Sarr

Forward

I. Mbaye

B. Dia

C. Sabaly

H. Diallo

I. Sarr

I. Ndiaye 85'

C. Ndiaye

N. Jackson 85'

Egypt
Egypt
Goalkeeper

O. Shobeir

A. El Shenawy

Defender

A. Eid

M. Ismail

K. Sobhi

Midfielder

M. Lasheen

I. Adel

M. Saber

M. Shehata

M. Trezeguet

A. Aboul-Fatouh 46'

Zizo

R. Rabia 81'

Forward

M. Fathi

S. Mohsen

H. Fathi 90'

O. Faisal

M. Mohamed

E. Ashour 83'

Missing players

Senegal
Senegal
Egypt
Egypt
Defender

M. Hamdy

Senegal & Egypt Squad Analysis

For Senegal, there will be no Ilay Camara, who despite going to the tournament as part of the squad has not featured due to injury. The same can be said for Assane Diao, who is yet to play a single minute in Morocco. The Lions of Teranga could freshen things up a little in offense, bringing in Nicolas Jackson, who is expected to replace Habib Diallo. No other changes are expected to be made by Pape Thiaw. 

The Lions of Teranga could freshen things up a little in offense, bringing in Nicolas Jackson, who is expected to replace Habib Diallo. No other changes are expected to be made by Pape Thiaw. 

Egypt head coach Hossam Hassan has no fresh injury issues to contend with, leaving Mohamed Hamdi, who went off against Benin, as the only likely absentee. Following a strong performance, the Pharaohs are expected to set up much as they did against Ivory Coast, with Omar Marmoush and Mohamed Salah supporting each other in offense.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Senegal
CD Huachipato Egypt
Top Goalscorer
Senegal N. Jackson (2 Goals) , 
Senegal C. Ndiaye (2 Goals) , 
Senegal S. Mane (2 Goals) , 
Senegal P. Gueye (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (4 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal S. Mane (3 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt E. Ashour (2 Assists)

Senegal - Egypt Key Points

  1. Last time out, the Egyptians notched three goals against the Ivory Coast.
  2. The Lions of Teranga haven't conceded multiple goals in Morocco yet, but they have given away some big chances in the big games.
  3. So far at this tournament, the Egyptians have scored an average of 1.80 goals per game.
  4. Against Ivory Coast, the Egyptians looked very deadly on the break.
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Our Senegal vs Egypt Prediction

Last time out against Ivory Coast, the Egyptians really did look deadly on the break, and I'm just not sure that the early market is paying enough attention to that simple fact. We've seen this Senegal team push forward lots in games at this tournament, and so far, they've not really been caught out, at least not massively, but if they leave the sort of space in behind that they did against Mali last time out, then the Pharaohs could easily make them pay. 

Our Senegal vs Egypt Pick: Egypt to Score Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Egypt to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+295
$250 offered for betting!

Senegal vs Egypt - Other Interesting Picks

Omar Marmoush to Score

Odds +360
At the tournament so far, Omar Marmoush has scored two goals, and I really wouldn't be surprised if he added a third against Senegal. Marmoush has blistering pace and likes to play on the break, so it's diffcult to see him not getting chances in Tanger. The forward registered a shot on target last time out and really did look comfortable attacking on the counter. Against a Senegal team that leaves lots of space in behind, should the Man City forward really be as big as +360 to score? As far as I'm concerned, the answer is no and thus there's value on offer.
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Senegal vs Egypt match : Frequently asked questions

The first of the two AFCON semi finals will be played at Stade Ibn Batouta in Tanger.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Senegal vs Egypt Picks