Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Prediction published on 11/7/25, 8:59 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 11/7/25 at 4:22 PM in Tennis Picks

Sebastian Korda of the United States will take on Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the semifinal of the 2025 Hellenic Championship on Friday.

Korda and Musetti are 2-2 in their head-to-head matchups, which adds another layer of intrigue to their upcoming showdown.

Current Form:

Korda is a +107 underdog for this match against Musetti. The American reached this stage of the inaugural ATP 250 event after besting Alexei Popyrin 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, Damir Dzumhur 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3, 6-2. In his quarterfinal win over Kecmanovic, Korda fired 13 aces and won 91 percent of his first serves to win all 9 of his service games. He also broke Kecmanovic three times behind 24 return points. Korda is now 7-4 in indoor play in 2025 with a 64.7 percent win rate in this playing condition.

Musetti moved two wins away from the Hellenic Championship title and a spot at the ATP Tour Finals after obliterating Alexandre Muller 6-2, 6-4. Musetti elevated his level of play anew in his quarterfinal win over Muller, as he generated 9 aces and 28 points behind the first ball to win 8 of 9 service games. He also broke four times behind 36 return points. Musetti will have to win a title in Athens for him to qualify for the ATP Tour Finals in Turin next week.