ATP - ATP Bastad Open
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by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks
The action at the clay-court event in Sweden continues of Friday, when there's an interestig contest due to take place between Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi. The Argentine ended his rather embarrassing losing run on European clay last time out by beating Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, though that win wasn't overly convincing. Should we expect Baez to shift through the gears after that win? Well, we know the level he is capable of on this surface, but then again, he really does struggle to match the level he reaches in South America when playing in Europe.
For Luciano Darderi, that win over Mikael Ymer was a convincing one, and it's a win that sets the Italian up nicely for this match. Having had one match extra to get used to things in Bastad, Darderi, who is capable of some big performances on clay, should fancy himself to do well against a player currently ranked above him.
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Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Form
Sebastian Baez and Luciano Darderi Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open
May 20, 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 15, 2025 - Bordeaux, France
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 14, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 24, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Sebastian Baez against Luciano Darderi : Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
Aug 26, 2024 - ATP US Open
Jul 19, 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
Feb 15, 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires
Feb 10, 2024 - ATP Cordoba
Feb 8, 2023 - ATP Cordoba
Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Sebastian Baez struggled to beat a worse player than Luciano Darderi in the first round, dropping a set.
- Sebastian Baez has won just one of his last seven clay-court matches in Europe.
- Sebastian Baez has lost five of his last six clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.
- On clay in 2025, Luciano Darderi has beaten multiple players that have beaten Sebastian Baez.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
To be quite honest, Luciano Darderi probably warrants being a slightly stronger favorite here, so there may just be some value to be had by betting on him to win at early odds of -109. After all, Sebastian Baez is nowhere near as strong on European clay as he is in his native South America. The Argentine struggled to beat a lesser opponent in the first round. Baez has also won just one of his last seven clay-court matches in Europe. Darderi has also had an extra match to get used to the conditions in Sweden, while he looked in strong form when beating Ymer in straight sets last time out. Moreover, his only recent clay-court losses have come against players ranked above Baez. Our Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi Pick: Luciano Darderi to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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