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by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks
The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners meet in Game 4 of the American League Division Series after trading one‑run decisions in the first 2 before the Mariners got the go-ahead in Game 3 after a significant delay. Detroit posted an 87‑75 record in the 2025 regular season, finishing second in the AL Central. They earned their postseason berth via a wild‑card series win and brought a well‑balanced roster into the playoffs.
Over the final month of the season the Tigers' young core found consistency; they went 18‑11 down the stretch, thanks to improved situational hitting and a bullpen that routinely held narrow leads. Detroit's path to the Division Series included a gritty 3‑2 extra‑inning triumph in Game 1 over Seattle, showing their resilience in tight games. Seattle, meanwhile, captured the AL West with a 90‑72 record, finishing three games clear of Houston.
The Mariners boasted one of the league's best run differentials and used a dominant pitching staff to limit opponents to under four runs per game. After dropping the opener, Seattle responded with a tense 3‑2 win to level the series, demonstrating their knack for timely hitting and their refusal to let the series slip away. The Mariners dominated Game 3, consistently finding success across virtually all innings. Both teams have seen recent games decided by razor‑thin margins, indicating an evenly matched showdown.
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Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Form
Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Seattle Mariners against Detroit Tigers : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
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Seattle Mariners - Detroit Tigers Key Points
- The Mariners are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 2-3 in the Mariners' last 5 games
- The Over is 2-2 with 1 push in the Tigers' last 5 games
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Our Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
The Tigers lean on young outfielders Riley Greene and Parker Meadows, both of whom were catalysts during the regular season with high on‑base percentages and strong defense. First baseman Spencer Torkelson delivered a breakout year with 30‑plus homers and improved plate discipline, while infielder Kerry Carpenter often provided clutch hits. Ace left‑hander Tarik Skubal, who logged a sub‑3.00 ERA and more than a strikeout per inning, anchors the rotation and is scheduled to pitch Game 2. Closer Alex Lange converted the majority of his save opportunities and will be key in the late innings.
For Seattle, star center‑fielder Julio Rodríguez continues his ascent as one of baseball's elite players; he finished the year with a blend of power and speed and delivered the go‑ahead hit in the Game‑2 win. Catcher Cal Raleigh provides left‑handed pop and excels at handling pitchers, while veteran infielder J.P. Crawford sets the table with a disciplined approach. Seattle's rotation, fronted by Luis Castillo and Logan Gilbert, suppresses runs and gobbles up innings; they also have a flamethrowing bullpen with Matt Brash and Andrés Muñoz.
Given Seattle's deeper starting pitching and the momentum from Rodríguez's Game‑2 heroics, the Mariners appear to have a slight advantage. However, if Skubal keeps the Mariners' bats in check and Detroit's lineup can scratch out early runs, the Tigers could wrest control back. Expect another close contest where a single swing or bullpen miscue determines the outcome. Our prediction for Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: Mariners to win.
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