San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 8/3/25, 10:39 AM  by Erik Gibbs | Modified on 8/3/25 at 4:50 PM in MLB Picks

As the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets wrap up their three-game set on Sunday afternoon, both teams are seeking some measure of consistency amidst recent turbulence. The series is tied 1-1, with San Francisco taking game one by a narrow 4-3 score, and New York exploding in game two with a 12-6 rout. The rubber match not only decides the series but may also mark a turning point for two clubs heading in very different directions in their respective divisions.

The Giants enter Sunday’s contest with a 55-56 record, having fallen below .500 during a rough stretch in late July and early August. Their game two loss was emblematic of their recent struggles: after clawing back from an early deficit to lead 4-3, San Francisco surrendered nine unanswered runs to the Mets and never recovered. That kind of collapse has become all too common lately.

The Giants have now dropped seven of their last eight games and were recently swept by both the Pittsburgh Pirates and these same Mets just last week. Despite those setbacks, they remain in third place in the NL West—but barely, and their margin for error is shrinking fast.

Meanwhile, the Mets are 63-48 and currently lead the NL East, though not without some recent stumbles of their own. New York entered this series after being swept by the Padres and had lost four of its last five. However, their explosive offensive performance on Saturday, highlighted by a 12-run barrage, was a reminder of how dangerous they can be when clicking.

The Mets’ ability to hit the long ball is a key separator in this matchup. With 137 home runs on the year, they’re tied for 10th in the majors, while the Giants sit near the bottom at 103, tied for 26th alongside the White Sox.